Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars, 39th Match

As we approach the 39th match of the Big Bash League 2025-26, the Perth Scorchers take on the Melbourne Stars at Perth Stadium. The Scorchers have demonstrated formidable form this season, boasting a strong home record with their well-drilled bowling attack and aggressive batting lineup. They have won four of their last five matches, showcasing consistency and adaptability under pressure. Meanwhile, the Melbourne Stars have had a mixed run, winning two out of their last five games but possess explosive potential, especially in the middle order. Historically, Perth has dominated the head-to-head clashes with the Stars at home, leveraging familiar conditions to their advantage. Key player performances will play a crucial role: Mitch Marsh leads the Scorchers with reliable all-round contributions, while star bowler Jhye Richardson is expected to exploit the pitch’s bounce. For the Stars, Marcus Stoinis has been the standout with both bat and ball, and opener Issac Heeney has provided brisk starts that gave the Stars early momentum in previous encounters. Strategically, Perth will likely rely on a strong pace-bowling unit to defend totals and a steady top order to build innings. The Stars need to capitalize on powerplay overs and rely on their depth in batting to set or chase competitive totals. Considering recent form, home advantage, and key players’ impact, the Perth Scorchers have a slight edge going into this contest.

Winning Probability: Perth Scorchers: 58%, Melbourne Stars: 42%

If Perth Scorchers bat first, they are likely to post a competitive total in the range of 165-175 runs. The flat sections of the pitch at Perth Stadium typically assist stroke play, allowing their powerful middle order to accelerate in the latter half of the innings. Conversely, if Melbourne Stars get to bat first, they might struggle slightly against an incisive Scorchers' bowling attack but can still manage a score between 160-170 runs. This scoring range is reflective of both teams' recent batting prowess and the expected pitch conditions favoring batting with some assistance to fast bowlers early on.

The pitch at Perth Stadium is known for its true bounce and pace, benefiting fast bowlers especially in the first 6-8 overs. Historically, the average first-innings score at this venue for BBL matches hovers around 170 runs. Chasing teams have a win percentage of approximately 52%, indicating a slight advantage for sides batting second. Weather forecast suggests clear skies with mild temperatures around 26°C, with minimal chances of dew, ensuring consistent playing conditions. Best bowler on this ground for Perth Scorchers has been Jhye Richardson, who recorded best figures of 4/22. On the batting front, Mitch Marsh holds the highest individual score for Scorchers here with 87 runs. For Melbourne Stars, Marcus Stoinis holds the ground record with a brisk half-century and best bowling figures of 3/15 was achieved by Adam Zampa in a previous season.

Team	Matches Played	Wins
Perth Scorchers	15	9
Melbourne Stars	15	6

Team Recent Performance

Team	Last 5 Matches
Perth Scorchers	W, W, W, L, W
Melbourne Stars	L, W, L, L, W

Mitch Marsh: Has been in excellent form with consistent middle-order runs and valuable wickets, a true all-rounder impacting games continuously for Perth.

Jhye Richardson: Quick and precise with the ball, he has been instrumental in early breakthroughs and maintaining pressure on the opposition.

Ashton Turner: A key batsman for Scorchers who provides stability and swift scoring in the death overs recently showing good touch.

Marcus Stoinis: The Stars' main force with both bat and ball, his recent performances include match-winning cameos and crucial wickets.

Issac Heeney: Solid and aggressive opener for the Stars, capable of giving rapid starts which is crucial in T20 formats.

Adam Zampa: The leg-spinner who has a knack for picking wickets at critical junctures and has impressive bowling figures at Perth Stadium.