Big Bash League 2025-26

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars, 30th Match

Saturday, January 10, 2026
01:45 PM IST
Melbourne Renegades

Melbourne Renegades

vs
Melbourne Stars

Melbourne Stars

Match Prediction

The Melbourne Renegades and Melbourne Stars face off in the 30th match of the Big Bash League 2025-26 at Docklands Stadium. Both teams have enjoyed fluctuating fortunes this season, with the Renegades showing a resurgence in recent matches thanks to their aggressive batting line-up and tightening bowling attack. Their last four games saw three wins, showcasing improved middle-overs control and power hitting at the death. The Stars, on the other hand, have had inconsistent results with a couple of high-scoring wins but have struggled with their bowling discipline, particularly in the middle overs where they leaked runs. Their batting core features explosive players but a slightly fragile top order has exposed them early in matches on a few occasions. Historically, the Renegades have had the upper hand at Docklands Stadium, winning 60% of their encounters against the Stars here, leveraging the ground dimensions to their strength, especially in powerplay and death overs. Key players for the Renegades include their in-form opener and an all-rounder who consistently picks wickets and contributes valuable runs. The Stars rely heavily on their experienced middle order and their lead pacer who has been their highest wicket-taker this season. Strategically, the Renegades are likely to opt for a fast start to set the tone, emphasize varied pace in bowling to disrupt Stars’ batting rhythm, and exploit their historical dominance at the venue. The Stars will need to build partnerships and accelerate in the last ten overs, while tightening their bowling plans, particularly on slow deliveries.

Melbourne Renegades: 57%, Melbourne Stars: 43%

Score Prediction

If the Melbourne Renegades bat first, given their explosive top order and average pitch conditions at Docklands Stadium, they are likely to post a competitive total in the region of 165-175 runs. Their ability to accelerate in the last five overs on this ground usually boosts their final tally. Conversely, if the Stars bat first, considering their inconsistent starts but strong finishers, a slightly lower total around 155-165 runs is likely. The pitch tends to hold up in the middle overs, which could inhibit scoring early but allows for a strong finish if partnerships graph well. Both teams have the firepower to cross 160 but may get restricted due to disciplined bowling and boundary sizes.

Docklands Stadium - Pitch Report

The pitch at Docklands Stadium traditionally offers a balanced contest for bat and ball. It provides some assistance to seamers early on with variable bounce but generally eases out favoring spinning options as the match progresses. The average first-innings score at this venue in the current BBL season is approximately 160 runs. Chasing teams have an edge with a win percentage around 55% when chasing below 165, indicating some help in timing the innings on this ground. Weather forecast predicts clear skies with temperatures around 25°C, light winds – favorable conditions for batsmen but also conducive to swing bowling early. Best performances at Docklands in this fixture: - Best Batsman: Marcus Stoinis (Renegades) with 75* off 40 balls in the last meeting. - Best Bowler: Adam Zampa (Stars) who recorded 4/22 in this venue’s previous season. - Highest team total in matches between these two at Docklands: 185/6 by Melbourne Renegades.
Our betting tips for this match
Favor Melbourne Renegades to win given their superior recent form and home ground advantage.
Back the total score to be between 155-170 considering balanced pitch and team batting strengths.
Keep an eye on early wickets; first over wickets may influence the match direction significantly.

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars - Head to Head Record in T20

StatisticValue
Total Matches Played18
Melbourne Renegades Wins11
Melbourne Stars Wins7

Team Recent Performance

TeamLast 5 Matches Record
Melbourne RenegadesW, W, L, W, W
Melbourne StarsL, W, L, W, L

Players to Watch

Sam Harper (Melbourne Renegades) - Harper has been in fine touch this season with quickfire starts, scoring 220 runs in last 5 games at a strike rate over 140.

Daniel Sams (Melbourne Renegades) - The all-rounder has taken 8 wickets recently and contributed crucial runs down the order, proving vital in tight situations.

Aaron Finch (Melbourne Stars) - Finch has led the Stars' batting with consistent 30+ scores but needs a big innings to change the team's fortunes.

Adam Zampa (Melbourne Stars) - Zampa remains their go-to spinner with 12 wickets this season and effective containment during middle overs.

Nick Larkin (Melbourne Stars) - Larkin has shown flashes of brilliance with a couple of half-centuries this season, stabilizing the innings after early losses.