West Indies Women vs Sri Lanka Women, 3rd ODI

The upcoming 3rd ODI between West Indies Women and Sri Lanka Women at the National Cricket Stadium promises an enthralling contest as both teams eye a strong finish to the series. West Indies Women enter this clash buoyed by their solid showing in the previous two ODIs, leveraging the home advantage and a balanced lineup that excels both with the bat and ball. Their recent form highlights consistent performances from their top-order batters, notably with aggressive strokes and smart pacing in middle overs. Sri Lanka Women, on the other hand, have shown resilience and strategic adaptability across recent matches, especially their bowlers who have successfully curtailed run rates and taken crucial wickets upfront. Their batting has had moments of brilliance though slightly inconsistent against quality spin bowling. Head-to-head, West Indies Women hold a slight upper hand in recent encounters at this venue, but Sri Lanka’s ability to fight back with tactical bowling plans keeps the equilibrium intact. Strategically, West Indies might look to exploit powerplay overs setting a firm platform while Sri Lanka would aim to contain runs early and capitalize on middle-over wickets. Given the stakes and conditions, the predicted winning probability slightly favors the home side due to their superior recent form and familiarity with the pitch.

Winning Probability: West Indies Women: 57%, Sri Lanka Women: 43%

If West Indies Women bat first, a competitive total in the range of 240-255 runs is expected, supported by their strong top-order capable of exploiting the powerplay and building momentum. The pitch at National Cricket Stadium generally offers good batting conditions in the first innings with some assistance to spinners later. Conversely, if Sri Lanka Women bat first, given their middle-order depth but slightly inconsistent top-order starts, they are likely to post totals in the vicinity of 220-235 runs. The surface should allow strokeplay initially but the bowlers will gain more traction as the game progresses, posing challenges on both sides chasing or defending these scores.

The National Cricket Stadium traditionally offers a balanced pitch with true bounce and moderate pace for pacers early on, while spinners tend to come into play from the mid-innings onwards. Historically, the average first-innings score here is around 245 runs, with teams batting first securing a win approximately 55% of the time, reflecting a slight advantage to the toss winner. Weather forecasts predict clear skies and mild humidity, ideal playing conditions without rain interruptions. The best bowler on this ground between the two teams is Caribbean spinner Afy Fletcher, who has recorded multiple 3+ wicket hauls here. For batsmen, Hayley Matthews stands out with a highest score of 95 in this venue during previous encounters, making her a vital player. The ground has witnessed thrilling contests historically, making this ODI a promising fixture under favorable conditions.

Matches Played	West Indies Women Won	Sri Lanka Women Won
20	12	8

Team Recent Performance

Team	Recent 5 Matches
West Indies Women	W, W, L, W, L
Sri Lanka Women	L, W, L, L, W

Hayley Matthews – The West Indies captain has been in excellent touch, consistently providing explosive starts and stabilizing innings when needed.

Afy Fletcher – Known for her accurate spin bowling, Fletcher has repeatedly turned matches with crucial breakthroughs at this ground.

Stafanie Taylor – A proven all-rounder, Taylor brings experience and versatility, contributing both with steady batting and tactical bowling spells.

Chamari Athapaththu – Sri Lanka’s leading run scorer has shown resilience under pressure with crucial innings despite inconsistent team performances.

Shashikala Siriwardene – An experienced all-rounder, her ability to take wickets and stem the flow of runs in the middle overs makes her a key asset.