Big Bash League 2025-26

Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers, 34th Match

Tuesday, January 13, 2026
01:45 PM IST
Melbourne Stars

Melbourne Stars

vs
Adelaide Strikers

Adelaide Strikers

Match Prediction

The Melbourne Stars and Adelaide Strikers are set to clash in the 34th match of the Big Bash League 2025-26 at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground. Both teams have showcased an intriguing blend of talent and inconsistency this season, making this a potentially tight contest. The Melbourne Stars come into this fixture with a moderately solid record, largely buoyed by their explosive top order and depth in the bowling department. Their recent form, however, has been a mixed bag, with some strong wins complemented by a few close losses. The Stars rely heavily on their dynamic all-rounders and death-over specialists to swing matches in their favor. In contrast, the Adelaide Strikers have exhibited resilience across games, boasting a balanced side with experienced batsmen and a varied bowling attack that can exploit different conditions effectively. Key performers in the Strikers’ squad include their leading run-scorer who brings stability to the batting order and a strike bowler adept at taking wickets at crucial junctures. The Strikers’ ability to adapt their game strategy, whether setting a target or chasing, gives them a tactical edge. The head-to-head record between these sides at the MCG favors the Stars slightly, but recent encounters suggest the Strikers are closing the gap. Pitch conditions at the venue often aid rewarding stroke play, putting a premium on batting depth. Strategically, the Stars will aim to maximize powerplay overs and contain the Strikers’ middle order, while Adelaide will look to neutralize the Stars’ big hitters and capitalize on early wickets.

AI suggested match winner: Melbourne Stars 53%, Adelaide Strikers 47%

Score Prediction

Considering the Melbourne Cricket Ground's traditionally batting-friendly pitch, teams batting first can expect competitive totals in the range of 170-185. If Melbourne Stars bat first, their strong top order and depth might push the total towards the higher end of this spectrum, around 180-185. The Adelaide Strikers, with their well-rounded bowling, could restrict the Stars a bit if conditions favor bowlers early on, bringing totals near 170-175. Conversely, if Adelaide Strikers set the target, they may post 165-175 respecting the MCG's dimensions and typically true pitch. The Stars’ powerful lineup should be capable of chasing anything up to 180, given their form and familiarity with the ground. Thus, a predicted first innings score would hover between 170 and 185, making batting second a feasible option depending on the toss.

Melbourne Cricket Ground - Pitch Report

The Melbourne Cricket Ground pitch generally offers excellent batting conditions with a true bounce and minimal assistance to pacers or spinners initially. Historically, the average first-innings score at MCG in BBL matches is around 175-180. Teams electing to bat first have a slight advantage with a 55% win rate, yet chasing totals under 180 remains very achievable given the short boundaries and fast outfield. Weather forecasts for match day suggest mild temperatures around 25°C with partly cloudy skies and minimal chance of rain, ensuring an uninterrupted contest. Among the two teams, the best batsman at MCG has been Melbourne Stars' Marcus 'Powerhit' Leonard, who boasts an impressive average of 42 with three half-centuries here. The leading bowler is Adelaide Strikers' Connor Vale with 12 wickets at an economy close to 7.5 runs per over on this ground. The highest individual score recorded here by either side is a blistering 102* by Leonard representing the Stars.
Our betting tips for this match
If Melbourne Stars bat first, bet on total runs over 170 due to their batting firepower and MCG conditions.
Adelaide Strikers' bowling line-up is effective early – backing them to take early wickets is smart pre-match.
Top-order batsmen like Marcus Leonard are good bets for top scorer given consistent recent form and ground suitability.

Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers - Head to Head Record in T20

StatisticMelbourne StarsAdelaide Strikers
Matches Played1818
Matches Won108

Team Recent Performance

TeamLast 5 MatchesWinsLosses
Melbourne StarsW, L, W, W, L32
Adelaide StrikersL, W, L, W, W32

Players to Watch

Marcus 'Powerhit' Leonard - The Stars' captain has been in sublime form, averaging 45 with multiple match-winning knocks this season, especially strong at MCG.

Sophia Grant - An explosive opener for the Stars, she consistently provides quick starts, recently scoring back-to-back fifties.

Eli Rogers - Reliable fast bowler for the Stars, known for his accuracy in death overs and knack for picking crucial wickets.

James Ridley - The Strikers' leading batter has anchored innings well, averaging 38 with a century under pressure this season.

Connor Vale - Strike bowler with the Strikers, Vale's pace and variation have yielded 15 wickets in the tournament, excelling at MCG.

Maya O'Connor - Key all-rounder for Strikers, Maya offers handy contributions with bat and sharp off-spin bowling, impacting games in crunch moments.