🏏 Match Prediction
The 11th match of the Asia Cup 2025 sees Afghanistan (AFG) take on Sri Lanka (SL) at the Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi. Check pitch report, probable XIs, key players, and winning chances in our AFG vs SL Asia Cup 2025 match prediction.
Afghanistan, led by Rashid Khan, have been impressive with their fearless batting at the top and a world-class spin attack. Rahmanullah Gurbaz and Ibrahim Zadran provide firepower, while all-rounders Mohammad Nabi and Azmatullah Omarzai add balance. With Rashid Khan and Noor Ahmad in spin-friendly UAE conditions, Afghanistan will be tough to beat.
Sri Lanka, under Charith Asalanka’s captaincy, bring a balanced squad. Kusal Mendis and Pathum Nissanka are their batting anchors, while Wanindu Hasaranga’s all-round ability remains the X-factor. The pace duo of Chameera and Nuwan Thushara provide wicket-taking options, with Maheesh Theekshana handling spin duties.
📌 If Afghanistan Bat First
- Expected Total: 160–175
- Key Batters: Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Ibrahim Zadran
- Key Sri Lanka Bowlers: Dushmantha Chameera (powerplay), Wanindu Hasaranga (middle overs)
- Strategic Insight: Afghanistan will look to maximize the powerplay with Gurbaz’s aggression. A total above 170 could put Sri Lanka under pressure, especially against Rashid Khan’s spin in the chase.
📌 If Sri Lanka Bat First
- Expected Total: 150–165
- Key Batters: Kusal Mendis, Charith Asalanka
- Key Afghanistan Bowlers: Fazalhaq Farooqi (new ball), Rashid Khan (middle overs)
- Strategic Insight: Sri Lanka need a solid start from their top order. Anything below 155 may not be enough against Afghanistan’s spin-heavy attack.
🎯 Winning Probability – Asia Cup 2025 Prediction
- Afghanistan (AFG): 55%
- Sri Lanka (SL): 45%
👉 According to our AFG vs SL Asia Cup 2025 prediction, Afghanistan hold a slight edge due to their superior spin attack and greater familiarity with Abu Dhabi conditions. However, if Sri Lanka’s top order fires and Hasaranga delivers with the ball, the contest could go down to the wire.