New Zealand tour of India, 2026

India vs New Zealand, 1st T20I

Wednesday, January 21, 2026
07:00 PM IST
India

India

vs
New Zealand  Cricket

New Zealand

Match Prediction

As India and New Zealand prepare to clash in the 1st T20I of the New Zealand tour of India 2026 at the Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, expectations run high for an enthralling contest. India enters this T20 series coming off a strong domestic and international run, showcasing flair in their batting lineup and continued growth in their bowling attack. Their home advantage at this venue provides them confidence given past performances in T20Is here. Conversely, New Zealand brings their trademark tactical finesse and a versatile bowling attack that has troubled many formidable batting units. Head-to-head in T20Is between these two is closely contested, with a slight edge to India on home turf. Key performances to watch include India’s dynamic opener, who has been in brilliant form in recent IPL seasons and international outings, alongside their death-overs specialist bowlers. New Zealand’s middle-order stability and swing bowlers are likely to be central to their strategy, aiming to exploit any early movement on the pitch and contain India’s power hitters in the latter overs. Strategically, India will look to maximize powerplay scoring and apply pressure through variations in pace, while New Zealand will aim for tight lines and disciplined death overs to restrict scoring. Given these factors, the winning probability slightly favors India based on home conditions and recent momentum. #### AI suggested match winner India: 58%, New Zealand: 42%

Score Prediction

The Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium typically offers a balanced surface with good bounce and true pace conducive to stroke play. If India bats first, they are likely to post a competitive total in the range of 175-185, leveraging their middle-order firepower and aggressive powerplay approach. New Zealand, known for their tactical decisions and ability to build innings under pressure, can be expected to post scores around 165-175 if they bat first, focusing on controlled aggression and running between the wickets. Considering the pitch and expected dew factor later in the evening, scores above 180 are challenging but achievable for the chasing team, making the first innings total an important factor in match strategy.

Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium - Pitch Report

The Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium is known for a balanced T20 pitch with consistent bounce and moderate assistance to pacers in the initial overs. Historically, the average first-innings score here in T20 matches is around 170, with teams chasing having a moderate success rate of approximately 45%. The weather forecast predicts clear skies and mild humidity, likely favoring bowlers with some swing early on. The ground dimensions are standard, supporting both boundary-heavy and running-heavy strategies. Best bowler at this venue: New Zealand’s Trent Boult has been exceptional in past encounters here, with figures including a best of 4/22. Best batsman: India’s Virat Kohli holds the record for highest individual score at this ground between the two teams, with 87* in a T20 match. Notable record: India’s winning percentage at this ground against New Zealand in T20Is stands at around 65%, underscoring their home dominance.
Our betting tips for this match
India is likely to win the toss and elect to bat first considering the pitch's batting-friendly nature early on.
Predict a total of around 175-185 if India bats first; under 170 if New Zealand bats first due to their cautious approach.
Key players like India’s opening batsman and New Zealand’s lead pacer may have significant impact on match momentum and betting markets.

India vs New Zealand - Head to Head Record in T20

StatisticIndiaNew Zealand
Total T20I Matches2525
Matches Won1411
Matches Lost1114

Team Recent Performance

TeamMatchesWinsLossesDraw/No Result
India (Last 5 T20Is)5410
New Zealand (Last 5 T20Is)5320

Players to Watch

India: Rohit Sharma - The seasoned opener has been in sublime touch with consistent 40+ scores in recent T20Is and IPL innings this season.

India: Jasprit Bumrah - Known for his death bowling skills, Bumrah’s recent performances include multiple tight overs and wicket-taking deliveries in powerplays.

India: Suryakumar Yadav - His innovative strokeplay and ability to accelerate mid-innings make him a vital threat against New Zealand’s bowlers.

New Zealand: Kane Williamson - The calm captain’s technique and game awareness have helped him notch up crucial 30+ scores in recent T20 fixtures.

New Zealand: Trent Boult - A consistent swing bowler, Boult’s recent form includes economical spells and early breakthroughs, posing a challenge to Indian batsmen.

New Zealand: Mitchell Santner - An all-rounder with excellent control, Santner’s ability to contain runs and pick wickets in the middle overs has benefited New Zealand greatly.