Indian Premier League (IPL) 2025

CSK vs RR, 62nd Match, TATA IPL 2025

Tuesday, May 20, 2025
07:30 PM IST
Chennai Super Kings

Chennai Super Kings

vs
Rajasthan Royals

Rajasthan Royals

šŸ Match Prediction

The 62nd match of TATA IPL 2025 features Chennai Super Kings (CSK) against Rajasthan Royals (RR) at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi, on May 20, 2025, 7:30 PM IST. Both teams are out of playoff contention, with CSK at the bottom (6 points, 3 wins from 13 games) and RR ninth (8 points, 4 wins from 14 games). This dead rubber offers a chance to end disappointing campaigns on a high, with RR holding a 4-1 edge in the last five meetings, including a 6-run win in Guwahati earlier in 2025. Web sources confirm RR won the toss and opted to bowl, chasing CSK’s 187/8 with a 6-wicket victory, led by Vaibhav Suryavanshi (57 off 33) and Sanju Samson (41 off 31).

Arun Jaitley’s batting-friendly pitch (average 1st innings: 213/6 since 2024, run rate 10.65) and short boundaries (55-60m square, 65m straight) favor high scores, with spinners gaining assistance later (economy 9.4). Dew (60% chance) makes chasing preferable (47/93 wins). CSK’s top-order struggles (average 23.68, strike rate 140.74) contrast with RR’s explosive openers (Jaiswal, Suryavanshi). RR’s chasing prowess and CSK’s bowling inconsistencies (0/5 defending in 2025) tilt the scales, though CSK’s spinners (Noor Ahmad, Jadeja) could challenge. RR’s momentum makes them slight favorites.

šŸ† Winning Probability:
šŸ“Š Rajasthan Royals – 55% āœ…
šŸ“Š Chennai Super Kings – 45%

šŸ“‹ If CSK Bats First:
āœ… Expected Total: 185–205 runs, driven by Dewald Brevis’ aggression and Shivam Dube’s finishing.
āœ… Key Bowlers (RR): Wanindu Hasaranga and Akash Madhwal must target CSK’s top order to keep them under 195.
āœ… Finishers to Watch: MS Dhoni and Dube could push CSK past 200 with late hitting.

šŸ“‹ If RR Bats First:
āœ… Expected Total: 190–210 runs, led by Yashasvi Jaiswal’s powerplay and Riyan Parag’s anchoring.
āœ… Key Bowlers (CSK): Noor Ahmad and Ravindra Jadeja will aim to restrict RR below 200 in the middle overs.
āœ… Game Changers: Dhruv Jurel and Shimron Hetmyer could accelerate for a daunting total.

Our betting tips for this match
Top Batsman: Vaibhav Suryavanshi (RR, ~4.0 odds): Suryavanshi will dominate the powerplay, targeting 50-70 runs on Arun Jaitley’s flat pitch, leveraging his breakout IPL 2025 form (57 off 33 vs CSK) and fearless strokeplay as a 14-year-old prodigy, ideal for RR’s chase at 7:30 PM IST, May 20, 2025.
Top Bowler: Noor Ahmad (CSK, ~3.7 odds): Noor will exploit Arun Jaitley’s spin-friendly track to take 2-3 wickets in the middle overs, targeting RR’s middle order, with his 20 wickets in IPL 2025 (best 4/25 vs KKR) and best-in-season average of 17.25, aligning with CSK’s need for breakthroughs (7:30 PM IST, May 20, 2025).
Top All-Rounder: Wanindu Hasaranga (RR, ~4.5 odds): Hasaranga will deliver tight spin overs and contribute 20-30 runs on a spinner-friendly pitch, capitalizing on his 4/35 vs CSK earlier in 2025 and effectiveness against CSK’s top order, ensuring high fantasy value to secure RR’s win (7:30 PM IST, May 20, 2025).

🧾 CSK vs RR Probable Playing XI

Chennai Super Kings (CSK):

  • Ayush Mhatre

  • Devon Conway

  • Urvil Patel

  • Ravindra Jadeja

  • Dewald Brevis

  • Shivam Dube

  • MS Dhoni (c & wk)

  • Anshul Kamboj

  • Ravichandran Ashwin

  • Noor Ahmad

  • Khaleel Ahmed
    Impact Player Options: Matheesha Pathirana, Deepak Hooda, Vijay Shankar

Rajasthan Royals (RR):

  • Yashasvi Jaiswal

  • Vaibhav Suryavanshi

  • Sanju Samson (c & wk)

  • Riyan Parag

  • Dhruv Jurel

  • Shimron Hetmyer

  • Wanindu Hasaranga

  • Kwena Maphaka

  • Yudhvir Singh Charak

  • Tushar Deshpande

  • Akash Madhwal
    Impact Player Options: Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Kumar Kartikeya, Shubham Dubey

šŸ“Š Match Analytics

šŸ”“ Chennai Super Kings (CSK):
āœ… Strengths:

  • Potent spin attack (Noor Ahmad, Jadeja) with 35 wickets in 2025, suited to Arun Jaitley’s pitch.

  • Emerging batsmen (Brevis, Mhatre) with 400+ combined runs in 2025.

  • Dhoni’s finishing ability, critical in high-scoring games.
    āŒ Weaknesses:

  • Poor top-order form (average 23.68, lowest in 2025).

  • 0/5 record defending totals in 2025, exposing bowling frailties.
    ⭐ Key Players:

  • Dewald Brevis: Aggressive middle-order batter, key to 185+ totals.

  • Noor Ahmad: Leading wicket-taker (20 wickets), vital for breakthroughs.

  • MS Dhoni: Clutch finisher, potential game-changer.

šŸ”µ Rajasthan Royals (RR):
āœ… Strengths:

  • Explosive openers (Jaiswal, Suryavanshi) with 98-run stand vs CSK.

  • Strong chasing record (2/10 wins in 2025, including vs CSK).

  • Balanced bowling with Hasaranga (4/35 vs CSK) and Madhwal’s death overs.
    āŒ Weaknesses:

  • Inconsistent campaign (4/14 wins), losing tight games.

  • Middle-order reliance on Parag, Jurel if openers fail.
    ⭐ Key Players:

  • Vaibhav Suryavanshi: 14-year-old prodigy, 57 off 33 vs CSK.

  • Sanju Samson: Captain and anchor, 41 off 31 in chase.

  • Wanindu Hasaranga: All-round impact, key vs CSK’s batting.

šŸŒ Pitch Report and Conditions

šŸŸ Venue: Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi

🌔 Weather: 37°C at start, dropping to 33°C, 50% humidity, 10 kph wind. 60% dew chance, favoring chasing. No rain expected.

Pitch Characteristics:
āœ… Batting Paradise: Average 1st innings: 213/6 (2024-2025, RR 10.65). Highest: 266/7 (SRH vs DC, 2024). āœ… Spin Assist: Spinners (42% overs, economy 9.4) gain turn in middle overs; pacers (economy 11) effective early. āœ… Boundary Sizes: 55-60m square, 65m straight, enabling high scores and sixes (22 per match).

Ideal Strategy:
🧤 Batting First: Target 200-210, preserving wickets for Brevis/Jurel’s surge.
šŸ’” Bowling First: Early wickets in powerplay (Jaiswal/Conway) and spin in middle overs (Noor/Hasaranga) are key. Toss winners likely to bowl first due to dew.

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šŸ“ˆ Performance Analysis on Both Teams

Chennai Super Kings (CSK) Recent Performance:
šŸ”„ Batting Strength: Brevis’ 50+ scores and Dube’s finishing (recent 40 off 20) drive CSK.
šŸ’„ Bowling Dominance: Noor’s 20 wickets (4 vs KKR) and Jadeja’s control troubled opponents.
šŸŽÆ Form Guide: Poor (W-L-L-L-L), winless in last 4. āš ļø Team Weakness: Top-order collapses and 0/5 defending totals expose bowling.

Rajasthan Royals (RR) Recent Performance:
🧨 Batting Depth: Suryavanshi’s 57 and Samson’s 41 powered a 188 chase vs CSK. āš”ļø Bowling Threats: Madhwal’s 3 wickets and Hasaranga’s spin (4/35) choked CSK. šŸ”„ Venue Record: First CSK-RR match at Arun Jaitley; RR won 3/9 vs DC here. āš ļø Team Weakness: Chasing inconsistencies (2/10 wins in 2025).

Overall Verdict: RR’s chasing prowess and explosive openers give them a 55% win probability, as seen in their 6-wicket victory. CSK’s spin and Brevis’ form pose a threat, but top-order struggles and bowling leaks favor RR. Expect a high-scoring game, with 200+ totals likely.

šŸŽÆ Key Focus Areas

āš”ļø Powerplay Battle: Conway/Mhatre vs Maphaka/Deshpande; Jaiswal/Suryavanshi vs Khaleel/Noor. RR’s 78/1 in 7.3 overs vs CSK showed dominance.
šŸ”„ Spin vs Middle Order: Noor/Jadeja vs Parag/Jurel; Hasaranga vs Brevis/Dube. RR’s middle-order stability is key.
šŸ’£ Death Overs Execution: Dhoni/Dube vs Madhwal/Hasaranga; Jurel/Hetmyer vs Pathirana/Khaleel. RR’s 6s in death overs sealed the chase.Ā 

🧱 Top-Order Consistency: Conway’s reliability vs Suryavanshi’s explosiveness. RR’s openers are in form.
🧠 Captaincy Tactics: Dhoni’s experience vs Samson’s aggression. RR’s chasing strategy outsmarted CSK.

šŸ’ø Fantasy Cricket & Betting Insights

🧠 Top Fantasy Picks:
šŸ”¹ Captain Choice: šŸ”„ Vaibhav Suryavanshi (RR) – Explosive opener, likely to score 50+. šŸ”¹ Vice-Captain Choice: ⚔ Noor Ahmad (CSK) – Wicket-taker, key vs RR’s middle order.
šŸ”¹ Budget Pick: šŸ’Ž Dhruv Jurel (RR) – Differential for late-order runs.

Dream11 Picks:

  • Wicketkeeper: Sanju Samson

  • Batsmen: Vaibhav Suryavanshi (C), Yashasvi Jaiswal, Dewald Brevis

  • All-Rounders: Wanindu Hasaranga, Ravindra Jadeja

  • Bowlers: Noor Ahmad (VC), Akash Madhwal, Anshul Kamboj
    Note: Prioritize RR batsmen (Suryavanshi, Jaiswal) for chasing due to dew and flat track. Adjust based on live XI and match progress.

šŸ” Key Player Match-Ups:

  • Vaibhav Suryavanshi vs Noor Ahmad: Suryavanshi’s aggression (57 off 33) faces Noor’s spin. If Suryavanshi fires, RR chase 190+; if Noor strikes, CSK control early.

  • Dewald Brevis vs Wanindu Hasaranga: Brevis’ middle-order hitting meets Hasaranga’s guile (4/35). If Brevis fires, CSK set 200+; if Hasaranga strikes, RR restrict below 190.

  • Sanju Samson vs Ravindra Jadeja: Samson’s anchoring (41 off 31) faces Jadeja’s control. If Samson dominates, RR race to 80+ in powerplay; if Jadeja strikes, CSK gain momentum.

šŸ“Š Win Probability & Betting Odds:

  • Rajasthan Royals (RR): 55% (Odds: ~1.90–2.05) āœ…

  • Chennai Super Kings (CSK): 45% (Odds: ~2.00–2.15)

šŸ† Final Prediction
RR are favored to win with their chasing prowess, explosive openers (Suryavanshi, Jaiswal), and balanced bowling, as evidenced by their 6-wicket victory chasing 188. The ML model predicts RR’s success, leveraging Samson’s leadership and Hasaranga’s all-round impact on a dew-affected, batting-friendly pitch. CSK’s spin (Noor, Jadeja) and Brevis’ form could challenge, but their poor season form tilts the scales. Expect RR to chase 190-200 with 5-7 wickets or defend 200+ by 10-15 runs (55% probability).

šŸ“¢ Final Thoughts
Suryavanshi, Samson, and Brevis are key fantasy picks for Arun Jaitley’s flat track; Noor, Hasaranga, and Madhwal will take wickets. Jadeja and Hasaranga add all-round value. Dew favors chasing, but CSK can set 200+ if Brevis fires. Check Star Sports, JioHotstar, or ESPNcricinfo for updates, and adjust fantasy/betting picks based on match progress.

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