CSK vs RR, 62nd Match, TATA IPL 2025

The 62nd match of TATA IPL 2025 features Chennai Super Kings (CSK) against Rajasthan Royals (RR) at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi, on May 20, 2025, 7:30 PM IST. Both teams are out of playoff contention, with CSK at the bottom (6 points, 3 wins from 13 games) and RR ninth (8 points, 4 wins from 14 games). This dead rubber offers a chance to end disappointing campaigns on a high, with RR holding a 4-1 edge in the last five meetings, including a 6-run win in Guwahati earlier in 2025. Web sources confirm RR won the toss and opted to bowl, chasing CSK’s 187/8 with a 6-wicket victory, led by Vaibhav Suryavanshi (57 off 33) and Sanju Samson (41 off 31).

Arun Jaitley’s batting-friendly pitch (average 1st innings: 213/6 since 2024, run rate 10.65) and short boundaries (55-60m square, 65m straight) favor high scores, with spinners gaining assistance later (economy 9.4). Dew (60% chance) makes chasing preferable (47/93 wins). CSK’s top-order struggles (average 23.68, strike rate 140.74) contrast with RR’s explosive openers (Jaiswal, Suryavanshi). RR’s chasing prowess and CSK’s bowling inconsistencies (0/5 defending in 2025) tilt the scales, though CSK’s spinners (Noor Ahmad, Jadeja) could challenge. RR’s momentum makes them slight favorites.

🏆 Winning Probability:
📊 Rajasthan Royals – 55% ✅
📊 Chennai Super Kings – 45%

📋 If CSK Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 185–205 runs, driven by Dewald Brevis’ aggression and Shivam Dube’s finishing.
✅ Key Bowlers (RR): Wanindu Hasaranga and Akash Madhwal must target CSK’s top order to keep them under 195.
✅ Finishers to Watch: MS Dhoni and Dube could push CSK past 200 with late hitting.

📋 If RR Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 190–210 runs, led by Yashasvi Jaiswal’s powerplay and Riyan Parag’s anchoring.
✅ Key Bowlers (CSK): Noor Ahmad and Ravindra Jadeja will aim to restrict RR below 200 in the middle overs.
✅ Game Changers: Dhruv Jurel and Shimron Hetmyer could accelerate for a daunting total.

Chennai Super Kings (CSK):

• Ayush Mhatre

• Devon Conway

• Urvil Patel

• Ravindra Jadeja

• Dewald Brevis

• Shivam Dube

• MS Dhoni (c & wk)

• Anshul Kamboj

• Ravichandran Ashwin

• Noor Ahmad

• Khaleel Ahmed
  Impact Player Options: Matheesha Pathirana, Deepak Hooda, Vijay Shankar

Rajasthan Royals (RR):

• Yashasvi Jaiswal

• Vaibhav Suryavanshi

• Sanju Samson (c & wk)

• Riyan Parag

• Dhruv Jurel

• Shimron Hetmyer

• Wanindu Hasaranga

• Kwena Maphaka

• Yudhvir Singh Charak

• Tushar Deshpande

• Akash Madhwal
  Impact Player Options: Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Kumar Kartikeya, Shubham Dubey

🔴 Chennai Super Kings (CSK):
✅ Strengths:

• Potent spin attack (Noor Ahmad, Jadeja) with 35 wickets in 2025, suited to Arun Jaitley’s pitch.

• Emerging batsmen (Brevis, Mhatre) with 400+ combined runs in 2025.

• Dhoni’s finishing ability, critical in high-scoring games.
  ❌ Weaknesses:

• Poor top-order form (average 23.68, lowest in 2025).

• 0/5 record defending totals in 2025, exposing bowling frailties.
  ⭐ Key Players:

• Dewald Brevis: Aggressive middle-order batter, key to 185+ totals.

• Noor Ahmad: Leading wicket-taker (20 wickets), vital for breakthroughs.

• MS Dhoni: Clutch finisher, potential game-changer.

🔵 Rajasthan Royals (RR):
✅ Strengths:

• Explosive openers (Jaiswal, Suryavanshi) with 98-run stand vs CSK.

• Strong chasing record (2/10 wins in 2025, including vs CSK).

• Balanced bowling with Hasaranga (4/35 vs CSK) and Madhwal’s death overs.
  ❌ Weaknesses:

• Inconsistent campaign (4/14 wins), losing tight games.

• Middle-order reliance on Parag, Jurel if openers fail.
  ⭐ Key Players:

• Vaibhav Suryavanshi: 14-year-old prodigy, 57 off 33 vs CSK.

• Sanju Samson: Captain and anchor, 41 off 31 in chase.

• Wanindu Hasaranga: All-round impact, key vs CSK’s batting.

🏟 Venue: Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi

🌡 Weather: 37°C at start, dropping to 33°C, 50% humidity, 10 kph wind. 60% dew chance, favoring chasing. No rain expected.

Pitch Characteristics:
✅ Batting Paradise: Average 1st innings: 213/6 (2024-2025, RR 10.65). Highest: 266/7 (SRH vs DC, 2024). ✅ Spin Assist: Spinners (42% overs, economy 9.4) gain turn in middle overs; pacers (economy 11) effective early. ✅ Boundary Sizes: 55-60m square, 65m straight, enabling high scores and sixes (22 per match).

Ideal Strategy:
🧤 Batting First: Target 200-210, preserving wickets for Brevis/Jurel’s surge.
💡 Bowling First: Early wickets in powerplay (Jaiswal/Conway) and spin in middle overs (Noor/Hasaranga) are key. Toss winners likely to bowl first due to dew.

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Chennai Super Kings (CSK) Recent Performance:
🔥 Batting Strength: Brevis’ 50+ scores and Dube’s finishing (recent 40 off 20) drive CSK.
💥 Bowling Dominance: Noor’s 20 wickets (4 vs KKR) and Jadeja’s control troubled opponents.
🎯 Form Guide: Poor (W-L-L-L-L), winless in last 4. ⚠️ Team Weakness: Top-order collapses and 0/5 defending totals expose bowling.

Rajasthan Royals (RR) Recent Performance:
🧨 Batting Depth: Suryavanshi’s 57 and Samson’s 41 powered a 188 chase vs CSK. ⚔️ Bowling Threats: Madhwal’s 3 wickets and Hasaranga’s spin (4/35) choked CSK. 🔥 Venue Record: First CSK-RR match at Arun Jaitley; RR won 3/9 vs DC here. ⚠️ Team Weakness: Chasing inconsistencies (2/10 wins in 2025).

Overall Verdict: RR’s chasing prowess and explosive openers give them a 55% win probability, as seen in their 6-wicket victory. CSK’s spin and Brevis’ form pose a threat, but top-order struggles and bowling leaks favor RR. Expect a high-scoring game, with 200+ totals likely.

⚔️ Powerplay Battle: Conway/Mhatre vs Maphaka/Deshpande; Jaiswal/Suryavanshi vs Khaleel/Noor. RR’s 78/1 in 7.3 overs vs CSK showed dominance.
🔄 Spin vs Middle Order: Noor/Jadeja vs Parag/Jurel; Hasaranga vs Brevis/Dube. RR’s middle-order stability is key.
💣 Death Overs Execution: Dhoni/Dube vs Madhwal/Hasaranga; Jurel/Hetmyer vs Pathirana/Khaleel. RR’s 6s in death overs sealed the chase. 

🧱 Top-Order Consistency: Conway’s reliability vs Suryavanshi’s explosiveness. RR’s openers are in form.
🧠 Captaincy Tactics: Dhoni’s experience vs Samson’s aggression. RR’s chasing strategy outsmarted CSK.

🧠 Top Fantasy Picks:
🔹 Captain Choice: 🔥 Vaibhav Suryavanshi (RR) – Explosive opener, likely to score 50+. 🔹 Vice-Captain Choice: ⚡ Noor Ahmad (CSK) – Wicket-taker, key vs RR’s middle order.
🔹 Budget Pick: 💎 Dhruv Jurel (RR) – Differential for late-order runs.

Dream11 Picks:

• Wicketkeeper: Sanju Samson

• Batsmen: Vaibhav Suryavanshi (C), Yashasvi Jaiswal, Dewald Brevis

• All-Rounders: Wanindu Hasaranga, Ravindra Jadeja

• Bowlers: Noor Ahmad (VC), Akash Madhwal, Anshul Kamboj
  Note: Prioritize RR batsmen (Suryavanshi, Jaiswal) for chasing due to dew and flat track. Adjust based on live XI and match progress.

🔍 Key Player Match-Ups:

• Vaibhav Suryavanshi vs Noor Ahmad: Suryavanshi’s aggression (57 off 33) faces Noor’s spin. If Suryavanshi fires, RR chase 190+; if Noor strikes, CSK control early.

• Dewald Brevis vs Wanindu Hasaranga: Brevis’ middle-order hitting meets Hasaranga’s guile (4/35). If Brevis fires, CSK set 200+; if Hasaranga strikes, RR restrict below 190.

• Sanju Samson vs Ravindra Jadeja: Samson’s anchoring (41 off 31) faces Jadeja’s control. If Samson dominates, RR race to 80+ in powerplay; if Jadeja strikes, CSK gain momentum.

📊 Win Probability & Betting Odds:

• Rajasthan Royals (RR): 55% (Odds: ~1.90–2.05) ✅

• Chennai Super Kings (CSK): 45% (Odds: ~2.00–2.15)

🏆 Final Prediction
RR are favored to win with their chasing prowess, explosive openers (Suryavanshi, Jaiswal), and balanced bowling, as evidenced by their 6-wicket victory chasing 188. The ML model predicts RR’s success, leveraging Samson’s leadership and Hasaranga’s all-round impact on a dew-affected, batting-friendly pitch. CSK’s spin (Noor, Jadeja) and Brevis’ form could challenge, but their poor season form tilts the scales. Expect RR to chase 190-200 with 5-7 wickets or defend 200+ by 10-15 runs (55% probability).

📢 Final Thoughts
Suryavanshi, Samson, and Brevis are key fantasy picks for Arun Jaitley’s flat track; Noor, Hasaranga, and Madhwal will take wickets. Jadeja and Hasaranga add all-round value. Dew favors chasing, but CSK can set 200+ if Brevis fires. Check Star Sports, JioHotstar, or ESPNcricinfo for updates, and adjust fantasy/betting picks based on match progress.

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