Asia Cup 2025

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, 5th Match Asia Cup 2025

Saturday, September 13, 2025

08:00 PM IST

From: Zayed Cricket Stadium

Bangladesh

Sri Lanka

🏏 Match Prediction

The 5th match of the Asia Cup 2025 sees Bangladesh (BAN) take on Sri Lanka (SL) at the Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi. Check pitch report, probable XIs, key players, and winning chances in our BAN vs SL Asia Cup 2025 match prediction.

Bangladesh, led by Litton Das, will rely on a mix of youth and experience. With Mohammad Parvez Hossain and Tanzid Hasan at the top, and middle-order anchors like Towhid Hridoy and Shamim Hossain, their batting unit looks promising. The pace attack of Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, and Tanzim Hasan Sakib adds firepower, while spinners Mahedi Hasan and Rishad Hossain provide variety.

Sri Lanka, under Charith Asalanka’s captaincy, bring depth in both batting and bowling. Their top order featuring Kusal Mendis, Pathum Nissanka, and Kusal Perera is experienced in Asian conditions. All-rounders like Dasun Shanaka, Wanindu Hasaranga, and Kamindu Mendis strengthen the middle order, while their bowling attack of Chameera, Theekshana, and Pathirana is capable of winning matches.

📌 If Bangladesh Bat First

Expected Total: 250–270 (ODI format)
Key Batters: Litton Das, Towhid Hridoy
Key Sri Lanka Bowlers: Dushmantha Chameera (new ball), Wanindu Hasaranga (middle overs)
Strategic Insight: Bangladesh need a steady start from Parvez and Tanzid to protect their middle order. If Litton or Hridoy plays a long innings, Bangladesh can set a competitive total.

📌 If Sri Lanka Bat First

Expected Total: 270–290
Key Batters: Kusal Mendis, Pathum Nissanka
Key Bangladesh Bowlers: Taskin Ahmed (new ball), Mustafizur Rahman (death overs)
Strategic Insight: Sri Lanka’s strong top order can target Bangladesh’s pacers early. If Mendis and Nissanka bat deep, Sri Lanka are likely to cross 280, putting Bangladesh under scoreboard pressure.

🎯 Winning Probability – Asia Cup 2025 Prediction

Bangladesh (BAN): 44%
Sri Lanka (SL): 56%

👉 According to our BAN vs SL Asia Cup 2025 prediction, Sri Lanka start as slight favorites due to their experienced batting lineup and balanced bowling attack. However, Bangladesh’s pace duo of Taskin and Mustafizur can swing the match if they strike early.

🏏 Top Batsman: Kusal Mendis (SL) (~3.8 odds) – Sri Lanka’s most consistent ODI batter, Mendis is reliable against both pace and spin. His ability to anchor and accelerate makes him the safest bet with the bat.

🎯 Top Bowler: Mustafizur Rahman (BAN) (~4.2 odds) – The “Fizz” thrives in Abu Dhabi conditions with his slower cutters and yorkers. He is a genuine wicket-taking threat, especially at the death.

⚡ Top All-Rounder: Wanindu Hasaranga (SL) (~3.9 odds) – A proven match-winner, Hasaranga’s leg-spin will test Bangladesh’s middle order, and his lower-order hitting adds extra betting value.

🧾 BAN vs SL Probable Playing XI

Bangladesh (BAN):
Mohammad Parvez Hossain, Tanzid Hasan, Litton Das (c & wk), Towhid Hridoy, Shamim Hossain, Jaker Ali, Mahedi Hasan, Rishad Hossain, Tanzim Hasan Sakib, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman

Sri Lanka (SL):
Kusal Mendis (wk), Pathum Nissanka, Kamil Mishara, Kusal Perera, Charith Asalanka (c), Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Wanindu Hasaranga, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Matheesha Pathirana

📊 Match Analytics

Bangladesh (BAN)

Strengths:

Pace Trio: Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, and Tanzim Hasan Sakib give Bangladesh variety with pace, cutters, and yorkers.
Young Batting Core: Towhid Hridoy, Shamim Hossain, and Parvez Hossain provide fresh energy alongside skipper Litton Das.
Spin Options: Rishad Hossain’s leg-spin and Mahedi Hasan’s off-spin add control in the middle overs.

Weaknesses:

Inexperienced Middle Order – Reliance on Litton and Hridoy to hold the innings together.
Chasing Pressure – Bangladesh have struggled historically when chasing 280+ targets against strong bowling units.

Sri Lanka (SL)

Strengths:

Top-Order Stability: Kusal Mendis, Pathum Nissanka, and Kusal Perera provide both aggression and consistency.
All-Round Depth: Hasaranga, Shanaka, and Kamindu Mendis offer batting depth and bowling variety.
Bowling Variety: Theekshana’s mystery spin, Chameera’s pace, and Pathirana’s death-over yorkers make a lethal attack.

Weaknesses:

Over-Reliance on Mendis & Hasaranga – If both fail, Sri Lanka’s balance can be disrupted.
Middle-Over Collapse Risk – SL have shown vulnerability against quality pace when rebuilding after the powerplay.

🌍 Pitch Report & Weather Conditions

Pitch Report – Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi:
The surface at Abu Dhabi usually offers a balanced contest between bat and ball. Pacers get early movement under lights, while spinners come into play during the middle overs with good grip and turn. Batters who settle in can score freely, but building partnerships is key. Scores around 260–280 are considered competitive in ODIs here.
Weather Conditions:
Hot and dry conditions are expected with no rain forecast on match day. Evening dew may aid chasing teams, making the toss crucial.
Toss Impact:
Chasing sides have often had the advantage at Abu Dhabi, as dew makes batting easier in the second innings. Winning the toss and opting to bowl first is the preferred strategy.

🎯 Key Player Matchups & Impact Players

🔑 Key Player Battles

Litton Das vs Dushmantha Chameera – Litton’s aggressive starts will be tested by Chameera’s pace and bounce in the powerplay.
Towhid Hridoy vs Wanindu Hasaranga – Hridoy’s positive approach against spin will be challenged by Hasaranga’s variations.
Kusal Mendis vs Taskin Ahmed – Mendis anchors Sri Lanka’s batting, but Taskin’s new-ball aggression could disrupt him early.
Mustafizur Rahman vs Kusal Perera – The Fizz’s cutters at the death versus Perera’s big-hitting ability makes this a decisive battle.

🌟 Impact Players

Bangladesh (BAN):

Litton Das – Captain and opener, crucial for setting the tone.
Taskin Ahmed – New-ball strike bowler who can rattle Sri Lanka’s top order.
Rishad Hossain – Young leg-spinner capable of breaking partnerships in the middle overs.

Sri Lanka (SL):

Kusal Mendis – Sri Lanka’s most reliable run-scorer in ODIs.
Wanindu Hasaranga – The all-rounder can turn games with both bat and ball.
Matheesha Pathirana – Sri Lanka’s death-over specialist, key to restricting Bangladesh in the final overs.`

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips & Captaincy Choices

📌 Must-Have Picks

Kusal Mendis (SL) – A consistent run-getter in ODIs, safe choice for both Dream11 & My11Circle.
Litton Das (BAN) – Captain & opener, provides points with both batting and wicketkeeping.
Wanindu Hasaranga (SL) – Game-changing all-rounder, guaranteed fantasy value.
Taskin Ahmed (BAN) – Strike bowler who can deliver early breakthroughs.

👑 Captaincy Choices (C)

Wanindu Hasaranga (SL) – Offers dual points with bat & ball, best captaincy option.
Litton Das (BAN) – If he fires at the top, expect a high-impact innings.

👥 Vice-Captain Choices (VC)

Kusal Mendis (SL) – Reliable anchor, excellent for accumulating points.
Taskin Ahmed (BAN) – If Bangladesh bowl first, could be a fantasy differential.

⚡ Differential Picks (X-Factors)

Towhid Hridoy (BAN) – Young middle-order batter who can surprise with a big knock.
Matheesha Pathirana (SL) – Death-over specialist, wicket-taker in the final overs.

🏆 Suggested Fantasy XI (Dream11/My11Circle)

WK: Litton Das (C), Kusal Mendis (VC)
Batters: Pathum Nissanka, Towhid Hridoy, Charith Asalanka
All-rounders: Wanindu Hasaranga, Dasun Shanaka
Bowlers: Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, Maheesh Theekshana, Matheesha Pathirana

👉 Balanced XI with 6 batting options, 2 all-rounders, and 4 wicket-taking bowlers.

Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, 5th Match Asia Cup 2025