Caribbean Premier League 2025

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots vs Guyana Amazon Warriors, 2nd match, CPL 2025

Saturday, August 16, 2025
04:30 AM IST
St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

vs
Guyana Amazon Warriors

Guyana Amazon Warriors

🏏 Match Prediction

The second match of CPL 2025 features St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (STKNP) taking on Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW) at Warner Park.

  • STKNP began their campaign with a comfortable six-wicket victory over Antigua & Barbuda Falcons. Their bowlers restricted Falcons to 121 before the batters chased it down in just 15 overs. However, back-to-back matches could tax their recovery and stamina.
  • GAW, as seasoned finalists and last year’s runners-up, enter fresh and disciplined. Stars like Shai Hope (captain), Shimron Hetmyer, Moeen Ali, Imran Tahir, and others bring a wealth of experience.

Venue Insight: Warner Park, with a base seating capacity of around 8,000 (expandable to ~10,000), often favors teams batting second in T20s. Historically, the pitch offers bowlers a marginal advantage under lights.

Winning Probability

Considering form, freshness, history, and conditions:

  • Guyana Amazon Warriors — 55%
  • St Kitts & Nevis Patriots — 45%

GAW’s strong track record and their advantage in being fresh tip the scale slightly in their favor.

If STKNP Bat First:

  • Expected Total: 160–180
    Their aggressive top order (Evin Lewis, Andre Fletcher, Rilee Rossouw) can capitalize early, but fatigue may limit late acceleration.
  • Key Warriors Bowlers: Imran Tahir (spin master – 22 wickets, econ 6.36), Dwaine Pretorius (seamer, SR 12.47). They will look to choke runs in middle overs.

If GAW Bat First:

  • Expected Total: 170–190
    With settled openers and All-rounders like Moeen and Hetmyer, they can set a challenging total.
  • Key Patriots Bowlers: Fazalhaq Farooqi, Naseem Shah, and Jason Holder (all-rounder captain) will aim for early strikes to unsettle GAW’s platform.
Our betting tips for this match
Top Batsman: Rilee Rossouw (STKNP) (~3.8 odds) — explosive, experienced, and likely pivotal in the powerplay.
Top Bowler: Imran Tahir (GAW) (~3.5 odds) — middle-over spin assassin, can derail momentum.
Top All-Rounder: Jason Holder (STKNP) (~4.0 odds) — offers balance with both bat and ball in a potentially low-scoring contest.

🧾 STKNP vs GAW Probable Playing XI

Evin Lewis, Andre Fletcher (wk), Rilee Rossouw, Kyle Mayers, Alick Athanaze, Jason Holder (c), Naseem Shah, Fazalhaq Farooqi, Waqar Salamkheil, Mohammad Nawaz, Dominic Drakes.

Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW):
Shai Hope (c & wk), Shimron Hetmyer, Moeen Ali, Iftikhar Ahmed, Romario Shepherd, Shamar Joseph, Kevlon Anderson, Ben McDermott, Dwaine Pretorius, Gudakesh Motie, Imran Tahir.

📊 Match Analytics

TeamStrengthsChallenges
STKNPHigh-momentum start, explosive batting order, motivated pace attackPlayer fatigue, pressure of back-to-back matches
GAWTactical depth, fresh squad, spin-heavy options, consistent CPL track recordReopening match nerves, unfamiliarity with Warner Park early on
Pitch & ConditionsSlight edge to bowlers with slower, second-half aid under lightsDew not a major issue early; toss and early strategy crucial

🌍 Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

Pitch Report – Warner Park (Basseterre)

Based on multiple recent sources:

  • Batting-friendly pitch with consistent bounce, especially early. Spinners might find some turn later in the innings.
  • Short boundaries enhance scoring opportunities.
  • Statistically, teams batting second have a better conversion rate in T20s here. Many captains prefer to bowl first after winning the toss.

Weather Outlook – Basseterre (Warner Park), 16 August 2025

Forecast for Saturday, 16 August indicates possible passing showers, overcast skies, and a moderate chance of rain around 0.53 inches, with expected high around 30 °C (86 °F) and humidity near 75%. Gusty winds up to 20 mph could also affect conditions.

Implications:

  • Expect interruption risk, so weather could play a role in match flow.
  • Dew not a factor—this should reduce advantage for chasing teams under lights.
  • Toss likely affected: bowling first might become a strategy to whitewash disruptions and exploit slightly damp conditions.

🎯 Key Player Matchups and Impact Players

Key Player Matchups

1. Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) vs Waqar Salamkheil (STKNP)

  • Hetmyer has been explosive in CPL, delivering 2,059 runs in 84 matches at a strike rate of 139.21 and often dominating Patriots bowlers.
  • Salamkheil was impressive in the opener, taking 4 wickets for 22 runs at an economy of 5.50. He poses a major threat with knee-trembling leg-spin early on.

2. Andre Fletcher (STKNP) vs Imran Tahir (GAW)

  • Fletcher unleashed a blistering 81 off 33 balls (SR 245.45) in a previous Warner Park clash.
  • Tahir, a CPL stalwart with 47 wickets since 2022 at an economy of 7.22, is known for breaking big innings with his smart spin.

3. Jason Holder (STKNP) vs Gudakesh Motie (GAW)

  • Holder is all-round class with 454 runs (SR 167.5) and 57 wickets in T20s this year, offering sturdy middle-order resistance and bowling control.
  • Motie leads GAW’s bowling stats with 17 wickets at an econ of 7.28 in the previous season—dependable, precise, and effective. 

CPL Impact Players (Recent Performers)

From CPL 2024’s Warner Park showdowns:

  • Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) – Scored 91 from 39 balls with high-impact innings; declared both Cricinfo’s Player of the Match and MVP.
  • Andre Fletcher (STKNP) – Equally explosive, with a blazing 81 (33 balls), second in MVP ratings for that fixture.
  • Moeen Ali (GAW) – Significant all-round presence: 10 off 22 with bat + 2/9 with the ball in the same match.
  • Ashmead Nedd (STKNP) – Left-arm spin that turned heads in the same encounter with a match-impact rating of 84.9. 

Their performances showcase how individual brilliance—or game-shifting spells—can swing momentum in tightly poised CPL games.

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips and Captaincy Choices

Based on the CPL 2025 preview, historical data, and player form, here are top Dream11 picks categorized by role:

Captain / Vice-Captain Choices

  • Shai Hope (GAW) – A dependable and consistent scorer; ideal for anchoring GAW’s innings.
  • Rilee Rossouw (STKNP) – Aggressive and explosive; can deliver high-impact fantasy points when he fires.

Wicketkeeper Options

  • Shai Hope (GAW) – Serves dual role as keeper and top-order stabilizer.
  • Andre Fletcher (STKNP) – Known for quick-fire starts; a differential pick with explosive potential.

Batters

  • Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) – Powerful middle-order hitter with CPL H2H pedigree (top accumulator against STKNP) .
  • Evin Lewis / Kyle Mayers (STKNP) – Offer aggression and power in the opening slots.

All-Rounders

  • Jason Holder (STKNP) – Provides stability with both bat and ball; great value in fantasy formats.
  • Moeen Ali (GAW) – Offers spin and finish; useful as a versatile pick.

Bowlers

  • Imran Tahir (GAW) – Leading wicket-taking spinner; consistently troubles STKNP, reliable fantasy anchor.
  • Fazalhaq Farooqi / Naseem Shah (STKNP) – Young pace options with wicket-taking upside, especially with ball-swing and early movement.