Caribbean Premier League 2025

Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Trinbago Knight Riders, 34th and final match, CPL 2025

Monday, September 22, 2025
05:30 AM IST
Guyana Amazon Warriors

Guyana Amazon Warriors

vs
Trinbago Knight Riders

Trinbago Knight Riders

🏏 Match Prediction

The grand finale of CPL 2025 features Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW) taking on Trinbago Knight Riders (TKR) at the Providence Stadium, Guyana. Check pitch report, probable XIs, key players, and winning chances in our GAW vs TKR CPL 2025 final match prediction.

The Guyana Amazon Warriors, captained by Imran Tahir, have been the most consistent team this season. Shai Hope has anchored the batting superbly, while Ben McDermott and Shimron Hetmyer provide explosive firepower. The all-round depth of Moeen Ali and Romario Shepherd gives them flexibility, and their spin trio of Tahir, Motie, and Pretorius is tailor-made for Providence conditions. Playing at home gives them a significant edge in the final.

The Trinbago Knight Riders, led by Nicholas Pooran, boast a powerful batting lineup. Alex Hales and Colin Munro set the tone at the top, while Pooran, Pollard, and Russell can destroy any attack in the middle overs. Their all-round options in Sunil Narine and Akeal Hosein add balance, but their bowling relies heavily on Narine and Russell to deliver under pressure.

📌 If GAW Bat First

  • Expected Total: 135–150
  • Key Batters: Shai Hope, Shimron Hetmyer
  • Key TKR Bowlers: Sunil Narine (middle overs), Andre Russell (death overs)
  • Strategic Insight: GAW’s strength lies in setting a big score. Hope can anchor, while Hetmyer and Shepherd accelerate. If TKR can dismiss Hope early, they can restrict GAW under 150.

📌 If TKR Bat First

  • Expected Total: 150–175
  • Key Batters: Nicholas Pooran, Alex Hales
  • Key GAW Bowlers: Imran Tahir (middle overs), Romario Shepherd (death overs)
  • Strategic Insight: TKR’s explosive middle order is their biggest weapon. However, Tahir and Motie’s spin threat on Providence’s surface could choke the runs. Pooran’s knock will decide if TKR can cross 160.

🎯 Winning Probability – CPL 2025 Final Prediction

  • Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW): 42%
  • Trinbago Knight Riders (TKR): 58%

👉 According to our GAW vs TKR CPL 2025 prediction, GAW hold the advantage thanks to their spin depth and home conditions. TKR will need big performances from Pooran and Russell to challenge the Warriors in their fortress.

Our betting tips for this match
🏏 Top Batsman: Shai Hope (GAW) (~3.5 odds) – Guyana’s most reliable run-getter, Hope’s ability to build an innings and accelerate in the death overs makes him the safest batting pick. His excellent record at Providence strengthens his case as the top batsman bet.
🎯 Top Bowler: Imran Tahir (GAW) (~4.0 odds) – The veteran leg-spinner has been exceptional on spin-friendly Providence pitches. In this final, his control in the middle overs and knack for breakthroughs make him the leading candidate for top bowler honors.
⚡ Top All-Rounder: Andre Russell (TKR) (~4.5 odds) – On the biggest stage, Russell is always a game-changer. With his explosive batting at the death and wicket-taking ability in crunch moments, he remains the best all-round bet from TKR’s side. His impact potential makes him a high-reward pick in the final.

📊 Match Analytics

🔥 Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW)
Strengths:

  • Balanced batting lineup with Shai Hope anchoring and Hetmyer/McDermott providing firepower.
  • Spin-heavy attack with Imran Tahir, Gudakesh Motie, and Moeen Ali, tailor-made for Providence conditions.
  • Strong all-round depth with Romario Shepherd and Dwaine Pretorius covering multiple roles.

Weaknesses:

  • Heavy reliance on Shai Hope for stability; his early dismissal could expose the middle order.
  • Pace attack depends on Shamar Joseph’s rhythm; if he struggles, death bowling may leak runs.

Trinbago Knight Riders (TKR)
Strengths:

  • Power-packed top order with Alex Hales, Colin Munro, and Nicholas Pooran capable of explosive starts.
  • Middle-order firepower from Pollard and Russell, both proven match-winners in finals.
  • All-round versatility with Sunil Narine and Akeal Hosein offering both spin control and batting depth.

Weaknesses:

  • Over-reliance on Pooran for batting stability; if he falls early, TKR could struggle to rebuild.
  • Bowling unit heavily dependent on Narine and Russell; lack of a consistent third wicket-taking option.

🧾 GAW vs TKR Probable Playing XI

Guyana Amazon Warriors (GAW):
Ben McDermott, Quentin Sampson, Shai Hope (wk), Shamarh Brooks, Shimron Hetmyer, Moeen Ali, Romario Shepherd, Dwaine Pretorius, Gudakesh Motie, Shamar Joseph, Imran Tahir (c)

Trinbago Knight Riders (TKR):
Alex Hales, Colin Munro, Nicholas Pooran (c & wk), Keacy Carty, Darren Bravo, Kieron Pollard, Andre Russell, Sunil Narine, Akeal Hosein, Saurabh Netravalkar, Usman Tariq

🎯 Key Player Matchups & Impact Players

🎯 Key Player Matchups

  • Shai Hope (GAW) vs Sunil Narine (TKR): Hope’s calm, anchor-style batting will be tested by Narine’s mystery spin. If Narine removes Hope early, TKR gains a huge advantage.
  • Shimron Hetmyer (GAW) vs Andre Russell (TKR): Hetmyer’s aggressive stroke play against Russell’s pace and variations at the death will be a decisive contest.
  • Nicholas Pooran (TKR) vs Imran Tahir (GAW): The TKR skipper is a fearless hitter of spin, but Tahir’s guile and experience at Providence make this a blockbuster matchup.
  • Kieron Pollard (TKR) vs Romario Shepherd (GAW): Pollard’s finishing power meets Shepherd’s death-over skills – a classic power-hitter vs yorker specialist battle.

Impact Players

  • Shai Hope (GAW): Guyana’s batting pillar. If he plays deep into the innings, GAW will be hard to stop.
  • Romario Shepherd (GAW): All-round game-changer with explosive late hitting and wicket-taking ability at the death.
  • Imran Tahir (GAW): The captain and strike bowler, his spin threat in middle overs could dismantle TKR’s batting.
  • Nicholas Pooran (TKR): Aggressive leader and batting mainstay, capable of taking the game away in a few overs.
  • Andre Russell (TKR): The ultimate impact player – destructive with the bat and dangerous with the ball.
  • Sunil Narine (TKR): Key to controlling GAW’s batting in the middle overs while also providing pinch-hitting power.

🌍 Pitch Report & Weather Conditions

🏟️ Providence Stadium (Guyana) – Pitch Report
The surface at Providence Stadium is traditionally slow and spin-friendly, especially in the middle overs. Quality spinners like Imran Tahir, Gudakesh Motie, and Sunil Narine are expected to dominate, as the ball grips and turns. Stroke-making becomes tougher as the innings progresses, making partnerships crucial.

Pacers may find early bounce and seam movement with the new ball, but assistance fades quickly, pushing them to rely on variations at the death. Batting generally gets harder in the second innings when the pitch slows down, so teams prefer to set a target.

A par score batting first is around 160–170, but with explosive hitters like Hetmyer, Russell, and Pollard in action, totals could push beyond 175 if the powerplay is maximized.

🌦️ Weather Conditions & Forecast

  • Date: September 22, 2025
  • Temperature: Around 31–32°C in the evening, dipping to 25–26°C overnight.
  • Humidity: High, which could favor swing early and test player fitness.
  • Rain Forecast: Light showers possible, but no major interruptions expected.
  • Cloud Cover: Moderate in the evening, aiding seamers in the first few overs.
  • Wind: Gentle breeze (10–15 km/h), offering slight movement for pacers.

👉 Overall Insight: Expect a slow, spin-dominated surface with dew potentially easing batting later on. The toss-winning captain is likely to bowl first to take advantage of dew and chasing comfort.

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips & Captaincy Choices

📌 Must-Have Picks

  • Shai Hope (GAW): Consistent run-getter and anchor, also provides wicketkeeper points.
  • Romario Shepherd (GAW): Offers dual value with late hitting and death bowling.
  • Imran Tahir (GAW): Proven wicket-taker, thrives on Providence’s spin-friendly surface.
  • Nicholas Pooran (TKR): Aggressive skipper and wicketkeeper-batter, capable of massive fantasy hauls.
  • Andre Russell (TKR): Explosive all-rounder who can contribute big in both departments.

👑 Captain Choices

  • Shai Hope (GAW): Safe pick, likely to bat deep and collect steady fantasy points.
  • Romario Shepherd (GAW): Balanced option with high-impact potential as both finisher and wicket-taker.

Vice-Captain Choices

  • Imran Tahir (GAW): Strong VC pick, expected to strike in middle overs with control.
  • Nicholas Pooran (TKR): High-upside choice, especially if he fires in a high-pressure final.

Risky Punt Pick

  • Keacy Carty (TKR): Often overlooked, but a player who can stabilize innings and chip in with valuable fantasy points in case of a top-order collapse.