Caribbean Premier League 2025

Saint Lucia Kings vs St Kitts & Nevis Patriots, 6th match, CPL 2025

Wednesday, August 20, 2025
04:30 AM IST
Saint Lucia Kings

Saint Lucia Kings

vs
St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots

🏏 Match Prediction

The sixth match of CPL 2025 features St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (STKNP) taking on St Lucia Kings (SLK) at Warner Park.

STKNP, under skipper Jason Holder, rely on their explosive top order with Evin Lewis, Rilee Rossouw, and Kyle Mayers. Their bowling unit, featuring Fazalhaq Farooqi and Waqar Salamkheil, offers left-arm variety and wicket-taking options. Playing back-to-back games, however, could test their middle-order stability and stamina.

SLK, meanwhile, bring a mix of Caribbean power and overseas experience. Johnson Charles, Tim Seifert, Tim David, and David Wiese provide depth with the bat, while Alzarri Joseph and Tabraiz Shamsi lead a world-class bowling attack. They will look to bounce back strongly and gain momentum early in the tournament.

Venue Insight: Warner Park, with a seating capacity of ~8,000 (expandable to 10,000), often favors chasing sides in T20 cricket. Under lights, bowlers—especially spinners—tend to get more grip, making totals around 170+ competitive.

🎯 Winning Probability

Considering squad balance, conditions, and home advantage:

  • St Kitts & Nevis Patriots — 48%
  • St Lucia Kings — 52%

STKNP’s familiarity with home conditions and their balanced all-round depth give them a narrow edge.

📌 If STKNP Bat First:

Expected Total: 160–180

  • The opening pair of Evin Lewis & Rilee Rossouw can provide a flying start, while Kyle Mayers and Jason Holder stabilize the middle.
  • Key SLK Bowlers: Alzarri Joseph (pace spearhead) and Tabraiz Shamsi (mystery spin) will look to control the run rate and break partnerships.

📌 If SLK Bat First:

Expected Total: 170–190

  • With Johnson Charles at the top and Tim David & David Wiese in the middle, they have the firepower to post a big score.
  • Key STKNP Bowlers: Fazalhaq Farooqi (powerplay threat), Waqar Salamkheil (spin), and Jason Holder (captain all-rounder) will be crucial in restricting SLK’s charge.
Our betting tips for this match
Top Batsman: Evin Lewis (STKNP) (~3.9 odds) — destructive opener, thrives at Warner Park with short boundaries.
Top Bowler: Alzarri Joseph (SLK) (~3.6 odds) — pace spearhead, dangerous with the new ball and at the death.
Top All-Rounder: Kyle Mayers (STKNP) (~4.2 odds) — explosive left-hander up the order, plus handy medium pace to break partnerships.

🧾 STKNP vs SLK Probable Playing XI

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots (STKNP):
Evin Lewis, Rilee Rossouw, Andre Fletcher (wk), Kyle Mayers, Alick Athanaze, Jason Holder (c), Mohammad Nawaz, Dominic Drakes, Corbin Bosch, Fazalhaq Farooqi, Waqar Salamkheil.

St Lucia Kings (SLK):
Johnson Charles (wk), Aaron Jones, Tim Seifert, Roston Chase, Tim David, David Wiese, Ackeem Auguste, Matthew Forde, Alzarri Joseph, Tabraiz Shamsi, Khary Pierre.

📊 Match Analytics

📊 Match Analytics

TeamStrengthsChallenges
STKNPExplosive top order (Lewis, Rossouw, Mayers), strong all-round depth (Holder, Nawaz), left-arm bowling variety (Farooqi, Salamkheil)Middle-order inconsistency, player fatigue from back-to-back fixtures
SLKExperienced T20 campaigners (Tim David, Wiese, Joseph), world-class spin options (Shamsi, Chase), aggressive wicketkeeper-batters (Charles, Seifert)Overdependence on top-order runs, death bowling inconsistency
Pitch & ConditionsBatting-friendly surface, short boundaries favor power hitters, chasing trend at Warner ParkSpinners gain grip in middle overs, toss crucial—teams prefer bowling first

🌍 Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

Pitch Report – Warner Park (Basseterre)
Based on multiple recent sources:

  • A typically batting-friendly surface with true bounce that rewards stroke play.
  • Short square boundaries make six-hitting a major factor, especially in the powerplay.
  • Spinners get some purchase in the middle overs, but dew is rarely a factor here.
  • Statistically, teams chasing have a higher success rate at this venue in T20s, so captains often prefer to bowl first.

Weather Outlook – Basseterre (Warner Park), 19 August 2025
Forecast for Monday, 19 August suggests partly cloudy skies with minimal rain threat (around 10–15% chance).

  • Temperature expected near 29–30 °C (84–86 °F).
  • Humidity around 72–74%, which could test fitness levels.
  • Light winds (10–12 mph) may slightly aid swing bowlers in the powerplay.

Implications:

  • Conditions should favor a high-scoring contest with uninterrupted play.
  • If humidity rises, pacers may extract movement early, but batting still dominates.
  • Toss remains crucial: chasing teams continue to enjoy a strategic edge here.

🎯 Key Player Matchups and Impact Players

Key Player Matchups

  1. Evin Lewis (STKNP) vs Alzarri Joseph (SLK)
    Lewis, with over 2,500 CPL runs at a strike rate above 140, thrives at Warner Park thanks to short boundaries.
    Joseph, who has 92 CPL wickets to his name, is lethal with the new ball and at the death—his extra pace could trouble Lewis early.
  2. Rilee Rossouw (STKNP) vs Tabraiz Shamsi (SLK)
    Rossouw is known for dismantling spin, striking above 145 in CPL when facing left-arm bowlers.
    Shamsi, however, has bagged 54 wickets in CPL since 2021, with an economy under 7.4. This duel could define the middle overs.
  3. Jason Holder (STKNP) vs David Wiese (SLK)
    Holder, the Patriots’ captain, offers balance with 450+ T20 runs in 2024 at a strike rate near 160 along with 30 wickets.
    Wiese, a proven CPL all-rounder, contributes with impactful late-hitting and a bowling strike rate of 15.1. Both players can shift momentum in crunch situations.

CPL Impact Players (Recent Performers)

From CPL 2024 and early CPL 2025 form:

  • Evin Lewis (STKNP): Exploded with 72 (34 balls) at Warner Park last season, rated among top 3 MVPs for that game.
  • Kyle Mayers (STKNP): Delivered a 41-ball 63 plus 2/21 with the ball in a 2024 fixture, showcasing his all-round value.
  • Tim David (SLK): Known for his finishing ability, smashed 46* (21) in a last-over win during CPL 2024.
  • Alzarri Joseph (SLK): Recorded 3/27 at Warner Park in 2024, recognized as ESPNcricinfo’s Impact Bowler of the Match.

These players, with their game-changing potential, can swing the balance in a tightly poised CPL 2025 contest.

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips and Captaincy Choices

Based on the CPL 2025 preview, historical data, and player form, here are top Dream11 picks categorized by role:

Captain / Vice-Captain Choices

  • Evin Lewis (STKNP) – Explosive opener who dominates at Warner Park; high ceiling fantasy pick.
  • Tim David (SLK) – Proven finisher; can deliver impactful runs in fewer balls and often grabs bonus fantasy points.

Wicketkeeper Options

  • Johnson Charles (SLK) – Aggressive striker at the top; reliable as a dual-role option.
  • Andre Fletcher (STKNP) – Known for powerplay fireworks; differential wicketkeeper choice.

Batters

  • Rilee Rossouw (STKNP) – Experienced T20 batter with consistency against spin-heavy attacks.
  • Aaron Jones (SLK) – Middle-order anchor, capable of building steady fantasy points with strike rotation.

All-Rounders

  • Jason Holder (STKNP) – Captain and backbone; offers runs, wickets, and guaranteed fantasy involvement.
  • Kyle Mayers (STKNP) – Hard-hitting left-hander plus medium pace; ideal dual-role fantasy option.
  • David Wiese (SLK) – Veteran finisher with both bat and ball impact.

Bowlers

  • Fazalhaq Farooqi (STKNP) – Early breakthrough specialist; economy points plus wickets potential.
  • Waqar Salamkheil (STKNP) – Mystery left-arm leg-spinner; strong wicket-taking option in middle overs.
  • Alzarri Joseph (SLK) – Strike pacer; threat with the new ball and at death overs.
  • Tabraiz Shamsi (SLK) – World-class wrist spinner, capable of controlling the flow and grabbing key wickets.