RR vs LSG, 36th Match, TATA IPL 2025

The 36th match of TATA IPL 2025 lights up Sawai Mansingh Stadium as Rajasthan Royals (RR), banking on Yashasvi Jaiswal’s flair and Yuzvendra Chahal’s spin mastery, take on a formidable Lucknow Super Giants (LSG). LSG, riding Lokesh Rahul’s consistency and Trent Boult’s fiery pace, aim to overpower RR’s home fortress despite a recent loss.

RR’s spin-heavy attack and home advantage keep them competitive, but LSG’s balanced batting and versatile bowling give them a slight edge on a pitch favoring chases. With no rain expected and minimal dew, expect a tight contest where LSG’s depth could prove decisive, unless RR’s spinners turn the tide.

🏆 Winning Probability:
📊 Lucknow Super Giants – 60% ✅
📊 Rajasthan Royals – 40%
LSG: 60% – Stronger form, deeper batting, and Boult’s early breakthroughs tilt the scales, despite RR’s venue familiarity.
RR: 40% – Chahal and Ashwin’s spin threat and Jaiswal’s potential keep them in the fight, but Samson’s likely absence and batting fragility pose risks.

📋 If RR Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 165–175 runs, anchored by Yashasvi Jaiswal’s aggression and Riyan Parag’s middle-order spark.
✅ Key Bowlers (LSG): Trent Boult for powerplay wickets, Ravi Bishnoi to choke the middle overs.
✅ Finishers to Watch: Shimron Hetmyer (RR) for late fireworks, Nicholas Pooran (LSG) to chase efficiently.

📋 If LSG Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 180–190 runs, driven by Lokesh Rahul’s stability and Rishabh Pant’s explosive finishing.
✅ Key Bowlers (RR): Yuzvendra Chahal for middle-over control, Ravichandran Ashwin to disrupt the top order.
✅ Game Changers: Rahul’s anchoring knock, Chahal’s match-turning spell.

Rajasthan Royals (RR):

Yashasvi Jaiswal, Nitish Rana / Vaibhav Suryavanshi (if Samson is unfit), Riyan Parag, Dhruv Jurel (wk, if Samson plays) / Sanju Samson (c, wk, if fit), Rovman Powell, Shimron Hetmyer, Ravichandran Ashwin, Yuzvendra Chahal, Trent Boult, Avesh Khan, Sandeep Sharma
Impact Player: Nandre Burger / Vaibhav Suryavanshi

Lucknow Super Giants (LSG):

Lokesh Rahul, Quinton de Kock (wk), Deepak Hooda, Rishabh Pant (c), Nicholas Pooran, Marcus Stoinis, Krunal Pandya, Ravi Bishnoi, Trent Boult, Avesh Khan, Mayank Yadav
Impact Player: Ayush Badoni / Mohsin Khan

Note: Lineups reflect IPL 2025 form, Jaipur’s spin-friendly conditions, and recent performances. RR may lean on Chahal and Ashwin for middle-over dominance, while LSG could opt for Mayank Yadav’s pace or Mohsin Khan as an impact substitute for extra bowling depth. Final XIs may vary based on tactical choices (e.g., RR adjusting for Samson’s injury) or fitness updates (e.g., Mayank’s workload management).

Rajasthan Royals (RR)
Current Form: RR have 2 wins and 5 losses in their last 7 games (LLLWW), languishing at 8th in IPL 2025 with a net run rate of ~-0.300. Their recent Super Over loss to Delhi Capitals (failing to defend 180) exposed batting inconsistencies, and a three-match losing streak highlights their struggles.

Key Players:
Batting:

• Yashasvi Jaiswal: Explosive opener, ~133 runs (avg. ~22, SR ~140), 50 off 30 vs MI, key in powerplay.

• Sanju Samson (doubtful): Team linchpin, 200 runs (avg. 33.3, SR ~150), vital captain and batsman if fit.

• Riyan Parag: Middle-order spark, SR ~145, potential for big scores at home.

• Shimron Hetmyer: Death-over finisher, SR ~160, critical for late surges.

Bowling:

• Yuzvendra Chahal: Spin leader, 6 wickets (avg. ~20, SR ~16), economy ~7.5, thrives at Jaipur.

• Ravichandran Ashwin: Versatile spinner, 5 wickets (economy ~7), effective in middle overs.

• Trent Boult: Pace spearhead, 8 wickets (avg. ~18, SR ~14), lethal in powerplay.

• Avesh Khan: Emerging pacer, 6 wickets, economy ~8.5, improving in death overs.

Injuries/Availability: Sanju Samson is doubtful (rib injury), potentially forcing Nitish Rana or Vaibhav Suryavanshi to open. RR’s strong home record (4-1 vs LSG historically) offers hope, but their 2-5 record this season is a concern.
Strengths: Elite spin attack, home crowd support, high powerplay scoring rate (~9).
Weaknesses: Samson’s likely absence, middle-order fragility, no fixed impact substitute strategy.

Lucknow Super Giants (LSG)
Current Form: LSG have 4 wins and 3 losses in 7 games (WLLWW), placed 5th with a net run rate of ~+0.250. Their recent loss to CSK (failing to defend 166) showed middle-order issues, but four wins reflect resilience.

Key Players:
Batting:

• Lokesh Rahul: Anchor and opener, 183 runs (avg. ~30, SR ~135), 80 off 50 vs SRH.

• Deepak Hooda: In-form batsman, 162 runs (avg. ~27, SR ~140), strong vs spin.

• Nicholas Pooran: Middle-order destroyer, 104 runs (SR ~160), lethal in death overs.

• Rishabh Pant: Explosive captain, SR ~150, key for chases.

Bowling:

• Trent Boult: Pace leader, 8 wickets (avg. ~18, SR ~14), economy ~8, powerplay threat.

• Ravi Bishnoi: Spin maestro, economy ~7.2, critical on spin-friendly pitch.

• Avesh Khan: Versatile pacer, 6 wickets, economy ~8.5, effective in middle overs.

• Mayank Yadav: Emerging speedster, economy ~8, impactful if fit.

Injuries/Availability: No major injuries; Mayank Yadav likely fit. LSG may swap Stoinis for Ayush Badoni for batting depth or add Mohsin Khan for pace variety. Their 1-1 record at Jaipur vs RR is balanced.
Strengths: Balanced batting lineup, versatile bowling, high middle-over dot-ball percentage (~45%).
Weaknesses: Middle-order inconsistency under pressure, reliance on Boult for early wickets.

🏟 Venue: Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
🌡 Weather: A pleasant evening is expected in Jaipur with temperatures of 25–38°C and low humidity (~19%) for the 7:30 PM IST start on April 19, 2025. Clear skies are forecast, with no rain risk, per the India Meteorological Department. Minimal dew is expected, ensuring a balanced contest without significant advantage to chasing teams.

Pitch Characteristics:
✅ Balanced Surface: Sawai Mansingh’s pitch offers a fair contest in IPL 2025, with an average first-innings score of ~157.68 (58 T20s since 2008). Recent games saw totals like 193/8 (RR vs LSG, 2024, defended) and 173/6 (LSG chased), reflecting its dual nature. Large square boundaries (65–70m) and a dry, turning surface favor spinners like Yuzvendra Chahal (25+ wickets at Jaipur) and Ravi Bishnoi, while pacers like Trent Boult rely on early swing. Middle overs favor spin (economy ~7 vs. ~8.5 for pace), with death overs challenging for bowlers (economy ~9).
✅ Scoring Trends: Highs include 197/5 (DC vs RR, 2008); the lowest defended total is 144, while 183 is the highest chased. A par score is ~170, with 180+ often needed to challenge strong chasing sides like LSG or RR. 
✅ Chasing vs. Defending: Teams batting first win 35% of T20s here (20 of 58), but chasing sides have won 65% (38 of 58) since IPL 2008, reflecting a slight chasing bias. RR’s 4-1 record vs LSG at Jaipur boosts their confidence, while LSG’s 1-1 venue record shows adaptability.

Ideal Strategy:
🧤 Batting First: Aim for 170–185, leveraging powerplay with Yashasvi Jaiswal or Lokesh Rahul. Middle-order anchors (Riyan Parag, Deepak Hooda) build, while finishers (Shimron Hetmyer, Nicholas Pooran) explode late. Bowlers like Chahal (RR) or Bishnoi (LSG) must choke middle overs to defend, with yorkers and slower balls key in the death. 
💡 Bowling First: Early wickets are crucial, with Boult or Avesh Khan exploiting early bounce. Spinners (Chahal, Ashwin, Bishnoi) dominate overs 7–15 to keep scores under 180. Death-over variations from Boult or Mayank Yadav are vital to curb hitters like Pant or Hetmyer.

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Rajasthan Royals (RR) and Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) clash in a crucial IPL 2025 encounter at Jaipur, with RR’s home strength tested against LSG’s balanced squad. Here’s a detailed look at their recent performances and key dynamics.

🔴 Rajasthan Royals (RR) Recent Performance:
🔥 Form Struggles: RR have 2 wins and 5 losses in their last 7 games (LLLWW), sitting 8th with a net run rate of ~-0.300. Their Super Over loss to Delhi Capitals (failing to defend 180) highlighted batting frailties, with a three-match losing streak exposing middle-order woes. Wins against MI and SRH showed potential, but losses to DC, CSK, and KKR reflect inconsistency.
🌀 Batting Strength: Yashasvi Jaiswal (~133 runs, avg. ~22, SR ~140) is a powerplay force, with a 50 off 30 vs MI. Sanju Samson (doubtful, 200 runs, avg. 33.3, SR ~150) is pivotal, and his absence could hurt. Riyan Parag’s SR ~145 offers middle-order spark, while Shimron Hetmyer’s finishing (SR ~160) is lethal, as seen in a 40 off 20 vs SRH. Dhruv Jurel and Rovman Powell’s inconsistent form (combined SR ~130) and Nitish Rana’s slow starts are concerns.
⚔️ Bowling Prowess: Yuzvendra Chahal leads with 6 wickets (avg. ~20, SR ~16), a middle-over menace at Jaipur (25+ wickets). Ravichandran Ashwin’s 5 wickets (economy ~7) add control, while Trent Boult’s 8 wickets (avg. ~18, SR ~14) dominate powerplays. Avesh Khan’s 6 wickets (economy ~8.5) and Sandeep Sharma’s death-over skills (economy ~8) are improving, but RR lack a second pace option if Boult is countered.
⚠️ Team Weakness: RR’s middle order collapses without Samson, as seen vs DC, with Jurel and Powell struggling in crunch moments. Over-reliance on Chahal and Ashwin limits bowling flexibility, and their high powerplay economy (~9) could hurt against LSG’s openers like Rahul and de Kock.

🔵 Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) Recent Performance:
💥 Solid Campaign: LSG have 4 wins and 3 losses in 7 games (WLLWW), placed 5th with a net run rate of ~+0.250. Their loss to CSK (failing to defend 166) exposed middle-order issues, but wins over GT, SRH, MI, and DC highlight resilience. A 7-wicket win vs GT (chasing 180) showcased batting depth, but a collapse vs LSG underlines vulnerabilities.
🎯 Batting Firepower: Lokesh Rahul (183 runs, avg. ~30, SR ~135) anchors with an 80 off 50 vs SRH. Deepak Hooda’s 162 runs (avg. ~27, SR ~140) shine vs spin, while Nicholas Pooran’s 104 runs (SR ~160) are lethal in death overs, as seen in a 60 off 30 vs MI. Rishabh Pant’s SR ~150 adds flair, but Quinton de Kock’s inconsistent starts (SR ~130) and Marcus Stoinis’s lack of big knocks weaken depth.
⚡ Bowling Struggles: Trent Boult’s 8 wickets (avg. ~18, SR ~14) make him a powerplay threat, while Ravi Bishnoi’s economy (~7.2) controls middle overs. Avesh Khan’s 6 wickets (economy ~8.5) offer versatility, and Mayank Yadav’s pace (economy ~8) is impactful if fit. Krunal Pandya’s part-time spin (economy ~7.5) adds balance, but LSG lack a second specialist spinner, relying on Bishnoi heavily.
⚠️ Team Weakness: LSG’s middle order falters under pressure, as seen vs CSK, with Stoinis and Hooda inconsistent. Their bowling, especially in death overs, has leaked runs (economy ~9.5), with Avesh and Mayank struggling vs aggressive finishers like Hetmyer. A 1-1 record at Jaipur reflects adaptability but not dominance.

💡 Overall Verdict:
This pits RR’s spin-heavy attack and home prowess against LSG’s balanced batting and versatile bowling. LSG’s batting depth, led by Rahul and Pooran, can exploit RR’s inconsistent pace, while Boult’s early wickets could dismantle RR’s fragile top order. RR need Jaiswal, Parag, and spinners Chahal and Ashwin to fire, but Samson’s absence weakens their core. With a slight chasing bias at Jaipur and LSG’s 4-3 record, they hold the edge in a likely close contest.

⚔️ Powerplay Domination:
RR’s Yashasvi Jaiswal and Nitish Rana/Vaibhav Suryavanshi (if Samson is unfit) will aim to exploit Trent Boult and Avesh Khan’s new-ball spells, while LSG’s Lokesh Rahul and Quinton de Kock target Boult and Sandeep Sharma. With Jaipur’s balanced pitch offering early bounce, the team that dominates the first 6 overs will set the tone for a competitive total or a strong chase.

💥 Middle-Order Fireworks:
RR’s Riyan Parag and Shimron Hetmyer must tackle LSG’s Ravi Bishnoi and Krunal Pandya, where the pitch’s turn could slow scoring. LSG’s Deepak Hooda and Rishabh Pant face Yuzvendra Chahal and Ravichandran Ashwin, who aim to control overs 7–15. The side that navigates the middle phase with fewer losses will seize match momentum.

🔄 Death-Over Execution:
RR’s Avesh Khan and Sandeep Sharma bring pace, but LSG’s Boult and Mayank Yadav must vary lengths to curb Hetmyer and Powell’s finishing. LSG’s Nicholas Pooran and Marcus Stoinis could exploit RR’s death bowling if bowlers miss yorkers, turning the final overs into a run-fest on Jaipur’s large boundaries.

🧱 Bowling Discipline:
RR’s bowlers, led by Chahal, need early wickets to disrupt LSG’s top order (10 powerplay wickets lost in 7 games). LSG’s pacers must target Jaiswal’s aggressive starts and Parag’s anchor role to break RR’s flow. Precision is vital to keep scores under 180 on a track where 170+ is par, especially with minimal dew aiding bowlers.

🧠 Captaincy & Tactical Matchups:
Sanju Samson’s (or Dhruv Jurel’s, if Samson is unfit) leadership will push RR to choke LSG’s middle order with Chahal’s spin, possibly saving Boult for Pant’s explosive phase. Rishabh Pant’s tactical acumen may see LSG deploy Bishnoi against Jaiswal early and hold Boult for Hetmyer’s blitz. Impact player choices (e.g., Nandre Burger for RR, Ayush Badoni for LSG) and bowler rotations will be decisive in this high-stakes clash.

🧠 Top Fantasy Picks:
Captain Choice:
🔥 Yuzvendra Chahal (Rajasthan Royals) – Chahal’s stellar form (6 wickets, avg. ~20) and dominance at Jaipur (25+ wickets) make him a fantasy gem. His ability to take wickets against LSG’s middle order (Pant, Pooran) ensures huge points as captain.

Vice-Captain Choice:
⚡ Lokesh Rahul (Lucknow Super Giants) – Rahul’s consistent scoring (~183 runs, SR ~135) and mastery against RR’s pace (50+ runs vs Sandeep Sharma) make him a fantasy powerhouse. His anchoring role on a balanced track guarantees big returns as vice-captain.

Budget Pick:
💎 Ravi Bishnoi (Lucknow Super Giants) – Bishnoi’s low credit cost and economical spin (economy ~7.2) offer value. His potential for wickets and dot balls on Jaipur’s spin-friendly pitch, especially vs RR’s middle order, makes him a differential pick for budget-conscious teams.

🔍 Key Player Match-Ups:\

• Yashasvi Jaiswal vs. Trent Boult – Jaiswal’s powerplay aggression (50 off 30 vs MI, SR ~140) faces Boult’s swing (8 wickets, 10 powerplay wickets in 2025). If Jaiswal anchors, RR could post or chase 170+; if Boult strikes early, LSG gain control.

• Lokesh Rahul vs. Yuzvendra Chahal – Rahul’s stability (80 off 50 vs SRH, SR ~135) meets Chahal’s precision (25+ wickets at Jaipur). An early breakthrough for Chahal could derail LSG’s start; if Rahul survives, LSG build a platform.

• Rishabh Pant vs. Ravichandran Ashwin – Pant’s explosive batting (SR ~150) tests Ashwin’s control (5 wickets, economy ~7). If Pant dominates, LSG could explode in middle overs; if Ashwin removes him, RR choke the run flow.

📊 Win Probability & Betting Odds:\

• Lucknow Super Giants (LSG): 60% (Odds: ~1.80–1.90)

• Rajasthan Royals (RR): 40% (Odds: ~2.00–2.20)

🏆 Prediction:
LSG’s balanced attack and form, led by Rahul and Pooran, give them a clear edge at Jaipur. RR’s spinners, with Chahal and Ashwin, pose a threat, but Samson’s likely absence could prove fatal. Expect a competitive clash, with LSG likely to win by 10–20 runs or 4–6 wickets, especially if chasing.

📢 Final Thoughts:
Batters like Rahul, Pooran, Jaiswal, and Parag are fantasy must-haves on Jaipur’s balanced pitch, while bowlers like Chahal and Bishnoi will rack up wickets. All-rounders like Krunal Pandya and Marcus Stoinis add versatility. The toss favors chasing due to the pitch’s slight bias, but a first-innings score of 180+ could test RR’s fragile batting unless Chahal and Ashwin step up.

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