🏏 Match Prediction
The 42nd match of TATA IPL 2025 at the iconic M Chinnaswamy Stadium pits Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB), riding high on Virat Kohli’s chasing prowess and a perfect away record, against a struggling Rajasthan Royals (RR), desperate to snap a four-match losing streak. RCB, third with 10 points, aim to break their home jinx (0-3), while RR, eighth with four points, seek a miracle to keep playoff hopes alive. The high-scoring Chinnaswamy pitch, likely aided by dew, favors chasers, but RCB’s balanced squad and RR’s injury-hit lineup tilt the scales. Expect a run-fest where RCB’s top order, led by Kohli and Phil Salt, could overpower RR unless Jofra Archer’s pace or Yashasvi Jaiswal’s bat sparks an upset.
📊 Winning Probability
- Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB): 60% ✅
- Rajasthan Royals (RR): 40%
- RCB (60%): Five wins in eight matches, a 5-0 away record, and Virat Kohli’s form (unbeaten fifties in chases) make RCB favorites. Josh Hazlewood’s powerplay control (72.92% dot balls) and Bhuvneshwar Kumar’s swing bolster their attack, despite spin struggles (1 wicket in 15 overs at home).
- RR (40%): Two wins in eight matches, a depleted squad without Sanju Samson, and a four-match losing streak dent RR’s chances. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Dhruv Jurel offer hope, but their misfiring middle order and inconsistent bowling (economy ~9) face a tough Chinnaswamy test.
If RCB Bats First:
- Expected Total: 180–200 runs, driven by Phil Salt’s powerplay aggression (SR ~150), Kohli’s anchoring (SR ~140), and Rajat Patidar’s flair.
- Key Bowlers (RR): Jofra Archer for early wickets, Maheesh Theekshana for middle-over control.
- Finishers to Watch: Tim David (RCB) for late sixes, Shimron Hetmyer (RR) for counterattacks.
If RR Bats First:
- Expected Total: 170–190 runs, anchored by Jaiswal’s fluency and Jurel’s middle-order grit (SR ~130).
- Key Bowlers (RCB): Hazlewood for swing, Kumar for death-over yorkers.
- Game Changers: Jaiswal’s big knock, Kohli’s chase mastery.