MI vs GT, 56th Match, TATA IPL 2025

The 56th match of TATA IPL 2025 brings a high-stakes clash between Gujarat Titans (GT) and Mumbai Indians (MI) at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, on May 6, 2025. GT, fourth in the points table with 14 points from 10 matches, are in fine form, bolstered by a commanding 38-run victory over Sunrisers Hyderabad. Their top order, led by Sai Sudharsan (504 runs, 154.12 SR) and Shubman Gill (465 runs, 162 SR), has been relentless, while their bowling attack, spearheaded by Prasidh Krishna (19 wickets) and Rashid Khan, proved decisive in their earlier 36-run win over MI in Ahmedabad (Match 9, IPL 2025). GT’s historical edge over MI (4-2 in 6 matches) and their adaptability make them a formidable force.

MI, third with six consecutive wins, are riding high with Suryakumar Yadav’s explosive form (446 runs, 179.11 SR) and Jasprit Bumrah’s wicket-taking prowess (11 wickets in 7 matches). However, their earlier loss to GT exposed vulnerabilities in their middle order and fielding, particularly under pressure. Wankhede’s batting-friendly pitch (average 1st innings score: 172–178) favors GT’s in-form top order, and their bowlers are well-equipped to exploit MI’s occasional batting collapses. With dew likely to aid chasing, GT’s balanced lineup gives them the upper hand in this crucial playoff race.

🏆 Winning Probability: 

📊 Gujarat Titans – 60% 

✅ 📊 Mumbai Indians – 40%

📋 If GT Bats First: 

✅ Expected Total: 195–215 runs, driven by Shubman Gill’s anchoring and Jos Buttler’s power-hitting. 

✅ Key Bowlers (MI): Jasprit Bumrah and Trent Boult must strike early to keep GT under 200. 

✅ Finishers to Watch: Rahul Tewatia and Shahrukh Khan could push GT past 210 with late surges.

📋 If MI Bats First: 

✅ Expected Total: 190–210 runs, powered by Suryakumar Yadav’s middle-over aggression and Rohit Sharma’s starts. 

✅ Key Bowlers (GT): Prasidh Krishna and Rashid Khan will target MI’s middle order to restrict them below 200. 

✅ Game Changers: Hardik Pandya and Tilak Varma could accelerate in the death overs to set a challenging total.

Gujarat Titans (GT):

1. Sai Sudharsan
2. Shubman Gill (c)
3. Jos Buttler (wk)
4. Washington Sundar
5. Rahul Tewatia
6. Shahrukh Khan
7. Rashid Khan
8. Ravisrinivasan Sai Kishore
9. Gerald Coetzee
10. Mohammed Siraj
11. Prasidh Krishna Impact Player Options: Ishant Sharma, Mahipal Lomror, Kumar Kushagra

Mumbai Indians (MI):

1. Rohit Sharma
2. Ryan Rickelton (wk)
3. Will Jacks
4. Suryakumar Yadav
5. Tilak Varma
6. Hardik Pandya (c)
7. Naman Dhir
8. Corbin Bosch
9. Deepak Chahar
10. Trent Boult
11. Jasprit Bumrah Impact Player Options: Karn Sharma, Mitchell Santner, Arjun Tendulkar

🔴 Gujarat Titans (GT): ✅ Strengths:

• Explosive top order with Sai Sudharsan (504 runs, 154.12 SR), Shubman Gill (465 runs, 162 SR), and Jos Buttler (470 runs, 169.06 SR).
• Potent bowling attack, with Prasidh Krishna (19 wickets, 10 in death overs) and Rashid Khan’s middle-over control (4/30 vs MI, 2023).
• Strong head-to-head record vs MI (4-2, including 36-run win in Ahmedabad, 2025). ❌ Weaknesses:
• Middle-order fragility if top order fails (e.g., 209/4 vs RR, chased in 15.5 overs).
• Limited Wankhede experience (lost by 27 runs in 2023). ⭐ Key Players:
• Sai Sudharsan: Consistent opener, likely to score 50+ (74 off 41 vs PBKS).
• Prasidh Krishna: Death-over specialist, key to restricting MI’s finishers.
• Rashid Khan: Spin maestro, critical vs MI’s middle order.

🔵 Mumbai Indians (MI): ✅ Strengths:

• Dynamic batting with Suryakumar Yadav (446 runs, 179.11 SR) and Rohit Sharma (321 runs, 152.85 SR).
• Lethal bowling led by Jasprit Bumrah (11 wickets in 7 matches) and Trent Boult’s early swing.
• Strong Wankhede record (4/7 wins in 2024, beat GT in 2023). ❌ Weaknesses:
• Middle-order inconsistency (e.g., 155/9 vs CSK, Match 1).
• Fielding lapses cost them 20–25 runs in Ahmedabad loss to GT. ⭐ Key Players:
• Suryakumar Yadav: Wankhede specialist, likely to dominate (103* vs GT, 2023).
• Jasprit Bumrah: Pace spearhead, key to early breakthroughs.
• Hardik Pandya: All-rounder, but recent batting form is a concern.

🏟 Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai 

🌡 Weather: Mainly cloudy, with a chance of afternoon showers. Temperature: 30–32°C, humidity 39–52%. Precipitation drops to 2% by 7 PM, ensuring a full match. Dew likely (60% chance), favoring chasing teams.

Pitch Characteristics: 

✅ Batting-Friendly: Average 1st innings score: 172–178 (IPL 2025). Highest chase: 214/4 (MI vs RR, 2023).

✅ Pacer-Dominant: Pacers take 75% of wickets (economy 9.6), with early swing due to coastal conditions. 

✅ Spin Support: Spinners (e.g., Rashid Khan) are effective in middle overs (economy 8.8). 

✅ Dew Impact: Likely dew aids chasing teams (67/123 IPL wins chasing).

Ideal Strategy: 

🧤 Batting First: Target 195+ by preserving wickets for a late surge with Buttler or Pandya. 

💡 Bowling First: Early wickets in the powerplay (Gill/Rohit) and spin in middle overs (Rashid/Bumrah) are key. Toss winners likely to bowl first due to dew.

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Gujarat Titans (GT) Recent Performance: 

🔥 Batting Strength: Sudharsan (504 runs), Gill (465 runs), and Buttler (470 runs) powered 224/6 vs SRH. Their 66-run powerplay vs MI in Ahmedabad set the tone. 

💥 Bowling Dominance: Prasidh Krishna’s 19 wickets (10 in death overs) and Rashid Khan’s spin (4/30 vs MI, 2023) broke MI’s chase in Ahmedabad. 

🎯 Form Guide: 38-run win vs SRH shows top-order reliability, though an 8-wicket loss to RR exposed middle-order concerns. 

⚠️ Team Weakness: Over-reliance on top three; middle order struggled when chasing 244 vs PBKS.

Mumbai Indians (MI) Recent Performance: 

🧨 Batting Depth: Suryakumar’s 446 runs (179.11 SR) and Rohit’s starts powered a 100-run win vs RR and an 8-wicket chase vs KKR.

⚔️ Bowling Threats: Bumrah’s 11 wickets and Boult’s swing (16 wickets, 8.79 economy) are lethal, but fielding errors cost them vs GT. 

🔥 Home Advantage: Six-match streak and Wankhede record (beat GT by 27 runs in 2023) boost confidence. 

⚠️ Team Weakness: Middle-order collapses (160/6 vs GT chasing 197) and fielding lapses (20–25 runs conceded in Ahmedabad).

Overall Verdict: GT’s in-form top order, disciplined bowling, and historical edge (4-2 vs MI) give them a 60% win probability. MI’s home advantage and Suryakumar’s form keep them competitive, but GT’s adaptability to Wankhede’s conditions and dew-aided chasing tilt the scales.

Key Battle to Watch:

• Suryakumar Yadav vs Prasidh Krishna: Suryakumar’s 126.3 SR faces Krishna’s 2 dismissals in 7 innings. If Krishna strikes early, GT restrict MI below 180; if Suryakumar fires, MI chase 200+.

⚔️ Powerplay Battle: Sudharsan/Gill vs Bumrah/Boult; Rohit/Rickleton vs Krishna/Siraj. GT’s 66-run powerplay vs MI in Ahmedabad gives them an edge. 

🔄 Spin vs Middle Order: Rashid/Sai Kishore vs Suryakumar/Tilak; Karn Sharma/Santner vs Buttler/Tewatia. Rashid’s middle-over control is crucial. 

💣 Death Overs Execution: Tewatia/Shahrukh vs Bumrah/Chahar; Pandya/Varma vs Krishna/Coetzee. GT’s bowling depth gives a slight advantage. 

🧱 Top-Order Consistency: Sudharsan’s reliability vs Suryakumar’s aggression. GT’s top three are more consistent. 

🧠 Captaincy Tactics: Gill’s batting order flexibility vs Pandya’s bowling changes. GT’s pitch-reading (black-soil success in Ahmedabad) could outsmart MI.

🧠 Top Fantasy Picks: 

🔹 Captain Choice: 🔥 Sai Sudharsan (GT) – Consistent opener, likely to score 50+ (504 runs, 154.12 SR). 

🔹 Vice-Captain Choice: ⚡ Prasidh Krishna (GT) – Death-over specialist, suited to Wankhede’s pace-friendly track. 

🔹 Budget Pick: 💎 Rahul Tewatia (GT) – Lower-order hitter, likely to contribute 20–30 runs and a wicket.

Dream11 Picks:

• Wicketkeeper: Jos Buttler
• Batsmen: Sai Sudharsan (C), Shubman Gill, Suryakumar Yadav
• All-Rounders: Rashid Khan, Washington Sundar
• Bowlers: Prasidh Krishna (VC), Mohammed Siraj, Jasprit Bumrah, Trent Boult, Gerald Coetzee Note: Adjust based on toss and final XI. Prioritize GT batsmen (Sudharsan, Gill) for chasing due to dew.

🔍 Key Player Match-Ups:

• Suryakumar Yadav vs Rashid Khan: Suryakumar’s 103* (2023) faces Rashid’s 4/30 in the same game. If Rashid strikes, GT choke MI’s middle overs; if Suryakumar dominates, MI post 200+.
• Shubman Gill vs Trent Boult: Gill’s 106.5 SR meets Boult’s single dismissal. If Gill anchors, GT set 195+; an early wicket boosts MI.
• Jos Buttler vs Jasprit Bumrah: Buttler’s 94.5 SR faces Bumrah’s 2 dismissals. If Buttler fires, GT chase 210+; if Bumrah strikes, MI restrict GT below 180.

📊 Win Probability & Betting Odds:

• Gujarat Titans (GT): 60% (Odds: ~2.00–2.10) ✅
• Mumbai Indians (MI): 40% (Odds: ~1.80–1.90)

🏆 Final Prediction

Gujarat Titans are favored to win due to their in-form top order (Sudharsan, Gill, Buttler), disciplined bowling (Krishna, Rashid), and historical edge over MI (4-2, including a 36-run win in 2025). Their ability to read conditions (black-soil success in Ahmedabad) and adapt to Wankhede’s batting-friendly pitch gives them a 60% chance of victory. MI’s six-match streak and Suryakumar’s Wankhede form (103* vs GT, 2023) make them dangerous, but GT’s bowling depth and dew-aided chasing could prove decisive. Expect a high-scoring thriller, with GT likely to win by 5–10 runs if defending 200+ or by 4–6 wickets if chasing, leveraging their top-order firepower. Clear weather ensures a full match, with dew favoring the chasing team.

📢 Final Thoughts

Batters like Sudharsan, Gill, and Buttler are fantasy must-haves on Wankhede’s flat track, while Krishna, Rashid, and Bumrah will rack up wickets. All-rounders like Rashid and Pandya add versatility for big points. The toss favors chasing due to dew, but GT’s top order can chase 200+ or set a daunting total. Stay updated with weather and XI announcements closer to the match.

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