LSG vs SRH, 62nd Match, TATA IPL 2025

The 61st match of TATA IPL 2025 pits Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) against Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow, on May 19, 2025, 7:30 PM IST. LSG, with 10 points from 11 games (5 wins, 6 losses), are seventh on the points table and in a must-win scenario to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, needing all three remaining games and favorable results elsewhere. SRH, eliminated from playoff contention with a poor season, aim to end on a high note despite their inconsistent form. LSG hold a 4-1 head-to-head advantage over SRH, including a 5-wicket win earlier in IPL 2025 at Hyderabad.

Ekana Stadium’s pitch (average 1st innings: 180 since 2024) has been batting-friendly but slows down, favoring spinners (economy 7.8) in the middle overs. With dew likely (60% chance), chasing is preferred (8/12 wins since 2024), making the toss critical. LSG’s home record (8/16 wins) and spin attack (Ravi Bishnoi, Krunal Pandya) give them an edge, but SRH’s explosive batsmen (Travis Head, Heinrich Klaasen) pose a threat. LSG’s desperation and home advantage make them favorites, though SRH’s nothing-to-lose mindset could spark an upset.

🏆 Winning Probability:
📊 Lucknow Super Giants – 60% ✅
📊 Sunrisers Hyderabad – 40%

📋 If LSG Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 175–195 runs, led by Nicholas Pooran’s aggression and Rishabh Pant’s anchoring.
✅ Key Bowlers (SRH): Pat Cummins and Harshal Patel must strike early to keep LSG below 185.
✅ Finishers to Watch: Ayush Badoni and Abdul Samad could push LSG past 190 with late hitting.

📋 If SRH Bats First:
✅ Expected Total: 170–190 runs, driven by Head’s powerplay blitz and Klaasen’s finishing.
✅ Key Bowlers (LSG): Bishnoi and Avesh Khan will target SRH’s middle order to restrict them under 180.
✅ Game Changers: Ishan Kishan and Abdul Samad could accelerate in the death overs for a competitive total.

Lucknow Super Giants (LSG):

• Aiden Markram

• Nicholas Pooran

• Rishabh Pant (c & wk)

• Abdul Samad

• Ayush Badoni

• David Miller

• Krunal Pandya

• Digvesh Singh Rathi

• Avesh Khan

• Ravi Bishnoi

• Will O’Rourke
  Impact Player Options: Akash Maharaj Singh, Prince Yadav, Mitchell Marsh

Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH):

• Abhishek Sharma

• Ishan Kishan (wk)

• Heinrich Klaasen

• Aniket Verma

• Sachin Baby

• Abhinav Manohar

• Abdul Samad

• Pat Cummins (c)

• Harshal Patel

• Jaydev Unadkat

• Zeeshan Ansari
  Impact Player Options: Eshan Malinga, Travis Head, Nitish Kumar Reddy

🔴 Lucknow Super Giants (LSG):
✅ Strengths:

• Strong home record (8/16 wins at Ekana since 2022).

• Potent spin attack (Bishnoi, Pandya) with 18 wickets in 2025, ideal for Ekana’s pitch.

• Explosive batting with Pooran (288 runs, strike rate 225) and Pant’s leadership.
  ❌ Weaknesses:

• Inconsistent form (L-L-L-L-W), losing 4/5 recent games.

• Pace bowling weakened by Mayank Yadav’s injury, relying on O’Rourke.
  ⭐ Key Players:

• Nicholas Pooran: Orange Cap contender, critical for big scores.

• Ravi Bishnoi: Spin threat, likely to choke SRH’s middle order.

• Rishabh Pant: Captaincy and batting stability, key in clutch moments.

🔵 Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH):
✅ Strengths:

• Explosive top order (Head, Klaasen) with 600+ combined runs in 2025.

• Versatile bowling with Cummins (12 wickets) and Patel’s death-over skills.

• Nothing-to-lose mindset, capable of upsets.
  ❌ Weaknesses:

• Poor season (eliminated from playoffs), lacking momentum.

• Weak middle order, vulnerable to spin on Ekana’s track.
  ⭐ Key Players:

• Travis Head: Powerplay aggressor, 281 runs in 2025.

• Heinrich Klaasen: Middle-order firepower, key for 170+ totals.

• Pat Cummins: Captain and pace leader, critical in early overs.

🏟 Venue: Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow

🌡 Weather: 28°C, 65% humidity, 12 kph wind. 60% dew chance, favoring chasing. Clear skies, no rain expected.

Pitch Characteristics:
✅ Batting-Friendly: Average 1st innings: 180 (2024-2025, RR 8.8). Highest score: 235/6 (KKR vs LSG, 2024).
✅ Spin Assist: Spinners (economy 7.8) dominate middle overs; pacers (economy 9.2) effective early.
✅ Boundary Sizes: 66m square, 73m straight, requiring precise shot-making.

Ideal Strategy:
🧤 Batting First: Target 180-190, preserving wickets for Pooran/Klaasen’s surge.
💡 Bowling First: Early wickets in powerplay (Pant/Head) and spin in middle overs (Bishnoi/Cummins) are key. Toss winners likely to bowl first due to dew.

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Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) Recent Performance:
🔥 Batting Strength: Pooran’s 288 runs (strike rate 225) and Badoni’s recent 74 power LSG.
💥 Bowling Dominance: Bishnoi’s spin (9 wickets) and O’Rourke’s pace troubled PBKS recently.
🎯 Form Guide: Poor (L-L-L-L-W), desperate for a turnaround.
⚠️ Team Weakness: Inconsistent top order if Pant fails early.

Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) Recent Performance:
🧨 Batting Depth: Head’s 281 runs and Klaasen’s finishing keep SRH competitive.
⚔️ Bowling Threats: Cummins’ early wickets and Patel’s yorkers challenged GT.
🔥 Venue Record: SRH lost 3/4 vs LSG, including a 5-wicket defeat in 2025.
⚠️ Team Weakness: Middle-order collapses against spin, exposed by Bishnoi previously.

Overall Verdict: LSG’s home advantage and spin dominance give them a 60% win probability. SRH’s batting firepower poses a threat, but their poor form and spin vulnerability favor LSG. Expect a high-scoring game, with LSG likely to chase 185+ or defend 180+.

⚔️ Powerplay Battle: Pant/Pooran vs Cummins/Unadkat; Head/Kishan vs O’Rourke/Khan. LSG’s 50+ powerplay runs in 2025 give them an edge.
🔄 Spin vs Middle Order: Bishnoi/Pandya vs Klaasen/Verma; Ansari vs Badoni/Samad. LSG’s spin control is crucial.
💣 Death Overs Execution: Pooran/Badoni vs Patel/Cummins; Klaasen/Samad vs Bishnoi/O’Rourke. SRH’s pace edge in death overs is key.
🧱 Top-Order Consistency: Pant’s reliability vs Head’s explosiveness. LSG’s top order is more stable.
🧠 Captaincy Tactics: Pant’s home knowledge vs Cummins’ aggression. LSG’s spin strategy could outsmart SRH.

🧠 Top Fantasy Picks:
🔹 Captain Choice: 🔥 Nicholas Pooran (LSG) – Explosive at Ekana, likely to score 50+.
🔹 Vice-Captain Choice: ⚡ Ravi Bishnoi (LSG) – Wicket-taker, key vs SRH’s middle order.
🔹 Budget Pick: 💎 Ayush Badoni (LSG) – Differential for late-order runs.

Dream11 Picks:

• Wicketkeeper: Rishabh Pant

• Batsmen: Nicholas Pooran (C), Travis Head, Ayush Badoni

• All-Rounders: Aiden Markram, Krunal Pandya

• Bowlers: Ravi Bishnoi (VC), Pat Cummins, Avesh Khan
  Note: Prioritize LSG batsmen (Pooran, Pant) for batting first due to Ekana’s track. Adjust based on toss and final XI.

🔍 Key Player Match-Ups:

• Nicholas Pooran vs Pat Cummins: Pooran’s aggression faces Cummins’ yorkers. If Pooran fires, LSG set 190+; if Cummins strikes, SRH restrict below 180.

• Travis Head vs Ravi Bishnoi: Head’s powerplay blitz meets Bishnoi’s spin. If Head dominates, SRH race to 60+; if Bishnoi strikes, LSG gain control.

• Heinrich Klaasen vs Krunal Pandya: Klaasen’s finishing faces Pandya’s guile. If Klaasen fires, SRH post 185+; if Pandya strikes, LSG keep SRH under 175.

📊 Win Probability & Betting Odds:

• Lucknow Super Giants (LSG): 60% (Odds: ~1.85–2.00) ✅

• Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH): 40% (Odds: ~2.05–2.20)

🏆 Final Prediction
LSG are favored to win with their spin dominance, home advantage, and desperation for playoff qualification. The ML model predicts LSG’s victory, leveraging Pooran’s form and Bishnoi’s wickets on Ekana’s spin-friendly pitch. SRH’s batting (Head, Klaasen) could challenge, but their poor form tilts the scales. Expect LSG to chase 185-195 with 5-7 wickets or defend 180+ by 10-15 runs (60% probability).

📢 Final Thoughts
Pooran, Head, and Badoni are key fantasy picks for Ekana’s flat track; Bishnoi, Cummins, and Pandya will take wickets. Markram and Pandya add all-round value. Dew favors chasing, but LSG can set 190+ if Pooran fires.

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