Timor Leste vs Indonesia, 4th Match

The upcoming T20 clash between Timor Leste and Indonesia at Udayana Cricket Ground is set to be an intriguing contest in the Indonesia Tri-Series 2025. Timor Leste have shown glimpses of potential in the tournament but remain fairly inconsistent with their batting lineup struggling to convert starts into substantial scores. Their bowling unit, though disciplined at times, lacks a genuine strike bowler capable of turning games single-handedly. Indonesia, on the other hand, currently enjoys a slight edge in terms of recent form and team cohesion. Their top-order batsmen have been more consistent, particularly in rotating the strike and accelerating towards the death overs. Indonesia’s bowling attack boasts a couple of seamers who have delivered crucial breakthroughs in the middle overs and a dependable spinner who has thrived at this venue historically. Head-to-head, both teams have met twice previously in T20s, with Indonesia winning one match and Timor Leste the other. Key players such as Timor Leste’s middle-order anchor have been steady but need to step up against Indonesia’s disciplined bowling attack. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s aggressive opener and their pace spearhead have been instrumental in sealing close matches. Strategically, Timor Leste might opt for an aggressive approach up front to unsettle the Indonesian bowlers early and try to post a competitive total. Indonesia will likely prioritize a balanced attack, focusing on building pressure through dot balls and targeting middle overs to restrict scoring. Considering the overall team balance, recent form, and player impact, Indonesia holds a slight advantage going into this match.

Winning Probability: Timor Leste: 43%, Indonesia: 57%

The Udayana Cricket Ground traditionally offers a good batting surface with a slight assist to spinners as the innings progresses. If Timor Leste bat first, they can be expected to post a total in the range of 140-155. Their outdated middle order may struggle against quality spin, limiting the overall score ceiling. Indonesia, if batting first, have the firepower to push this up slightly better, and 150-165 would be a more realistic expected total given their aggressive batting line-up and ability to capitalize on powerplay overs. Chasing teams have enjoyed a decent success here, especially if the pitch remains true under lights. Overall, match conditions suggest a balanced contest with moderate scoring potential on both sides.

The Udayana Cricket Ground exhibits a generally flat pitch with true bounce favoring stroke-play but with some assistance for spinners as the game progresses. The average first-innings score here stands around 155 runs in T20 matches. Chasing teams have a success rate of approximately 54% on this ground, owing to predictable conditions and manageable boundaries. Typically, spinners come into play from the 10th over. Weather forecast indicates clear skies with moderate humidity, around 28°C temperature, and minimal chance of rain, ensuring no interruptions. Best bowler on this ground so far between both teams is Indonesia’s left-arm pacer with 7 wickets at an average of 15.3. The top batsman is Timor Leste’s opening batsman who averages 42.5 here with one fifty. The best individual performance recorded was Indonesia’s batsman scoring an unbeaten 89 in a previous encounter on this venue.

Matches Played	Timor Leste Wins	Indonesia Wins	Ties/No Result
2	1	1	0

Team Recent Performance

Team	Last 5 Matches
Timor Leste	W, L, L, W, L
Indonesia	W, W, L, W, W

Timor Leste Middle-Order Batsman: Has been consistent in recent outings, providing stability in the middle overs, although needs to convert starts into bigger scores.

Timor Leste Spinner: Effective at keeping the runs down and picking key wickets during the middle phase, vital for breaking Indonesia’s partnerships.

Timor Leste Opening Batsman: Leads from the front with an impressive average at this ground, playing crucial innings in previous matches.

Indonesia Opening Batsman: Formidable against pace and spin alike, has shown aggressive intent and regularly provides strong starts.

Indonesia Left-Arm Fast Bowler: The leading wicket-taker at this venue with impressive economy, often breaks opening partnerships early.

Indonesia Spinner: Controls the middle overs effectively and builds pressure with economical bowling, often constraining Timor Leste's batting lineup.