ICC Champions Trophy 2025

South Africa vs England, 11th Match, Group B

Saturday, March 1, 2025
02:43 PM IST
South Africa cricket

South Africa

vs
England Cricket Team

England

Match Prediction

South Africa’s path to victory lies in their balanced lineup, with strong batting from Temba Bavuma, David Miller, and Heinrich Klaasen, along with their powerful bowling attack led by Kagiso Rabada and Keshav Maharaj. If South Africa bats first, they’ll aim for a total of 270+ runs and let their bowlers put England under pressure. In a chase, their top order will need to provide a solid start to stabilize the innings and finish strong.

On the other hand, England’s success depends on their explosive batting lineup and diverse bowling attack. With Jos Buttler, Joe Root, and Liam Livingstone in the middle order, they can post big scores. England will look to restrict South Africa to under 250 if bowling first and chase confidently with their experienced batters. Jofra Archer and Adil Rashid must step up to control the game with both pace and spin.

Winning Probability: South Africa: 45% England: 55%

If South Africa Bats First:

  • Expected to post a total of 270+ runs, with Bavuma and Miller anchoring the innings.
  • Kagiso Rabada and Tabraiz Shamsi will be crucial in defending the total.
  • South Africa’s middle order, featuring Aiden Markram and Rassie van der Dussen, must accelerate in the final overs.
  • Early breakthroughs will be key for England; they’ll rely on Jofra Archer and Mark Wood to strike within the powerplay.

If England Bats First:

  • Expected to post a total of 280+ runs, led by Buttler and Joe Root.
  • Adil Rashid’s spin and Mark Wood’s pace will be essential in defending the target.
  • England’s lower order, with Liam Livingstone and Phil Salt, can push the total beyond 300.
  • South Africa’s bowlers, especially Rabada and Maharaj, will need early wickets to keep England’s batters in check.
Our betting tips for this match
Top Batsman: Ryan Rickelton (SA) - A dangerous opener who can single-handedly change the game’s momentum with his attacking approach.
Top Bowler: Kagiso Rabada (SA) - South Africa’s strike bowler with the pace and accuracy to trouble any batting lineup, crucial in both powerplay and death overs.
Top All-Rounder: Liam Livingstone (ENG) - A powerful finisher with the bat and a handy spin option, Livingstone’s versatility makes him invaluable.

Match Analytics

South Africa

Strengths:

  • Balanced squad with a mix of experienced players and rising stars.
  • A potent bowling attack featuring Kagiso Rabada and Keshav Maharaj.
  • Explosive middle order with David Miller and Heinrich Klaasen.
  • Effective spin options with Tabraiz Shamsi providing variety.

Weaknesses:

  • Dependency on a few key players like Rabada and Miller.
  • Vulnerability in the lower middle order under pressure.
  • Inconsistent performance in high-stakes matches.

England

Strengths:

  • Deep and aggressive batting lineup led by Jos Buttler and Joe Root.
  • Fast and varied pace attack with Jofra Archer and Mark Wood.
  • Strong spin option in Adil Rashid, effective in middle overs.
  • Versatile all-rounders like Liam Livingstone.

Weaknesses:

  • Middle-order fragility if early wickets fall.
  • Inconsistent bowling performance in death overs.
  • Dependence on Jos Buttler for quick scoring in chases.

Performance Analysis on Both Teams

South Africa: 

Aiden Markram: The captain’s role at the top will be critical for setting a strong platform. 

David Miller: A proven finisher with the ability to change games in the final overs. 

Heinrich Klaasen: Known for his aggressive middle-order approach and consistency. 

Kagiso Rabada: South Africa’s lead pacer, crucial for early and death-over breakthroughs. 

Keshav Maharaj: An experienced spinner who can control the game in the middle overs.

Marco Jansen: A versatile batter and occasional bowler who brings stability to the side. 

England: 

Jos Buttler: The captain and wicketkeeper-batsman, key for quick starts and strong finishes. 

Joe Root: England’s anchor in the middle order, known for building long innings. 

Liam Livingstone: A dangerous all-rounder with explosive batting and effective spin. 

Jofra Archer: A fast bowler with pace and accuracy, vital for early breakthroughs. 

Adil Rashid: England’s lead spinner, effective in controlling the middle overs. 

Saqib Mahmood: Known for his raw pace, crucial in both powerplay and death overs.

Key Focus Areas

South Africa’s Bowling Attack – 30%: Kagiso Rabada and Keshav Maharaj need to strike early and maintain pressure throughout the innings. 

England’s Top Order Performance – 25%: Jos Buttler and Joe Root’s ability to anchor and accelerate will be crucial. 

Middle-Order Stability – 20%: South Africa’s Miller and Klaasen versus England’s Livingstone and Brook will decide the game’s momentum. 

Death Overs Execution – 15%: Both teams rely on their finishers and death bowlers to either set or defend high targets. 

Pitch Conditions in Karachi – 10%: The surface’s behavior and possible dew factor could influence bowling effectiveness and chasing ease.

Who Will Win?

England holds a slight edge with their deep batting lineup and varied bowling attack. Their ability to set or chase high targets, led by Jos Buttler and Joe Root, gives them an advantage.

South Africa’s best chance lies in early breakthroughs and their powerful middle order stepping up. If their bowlers, particularly Rabada and Maharaj, strike early and contain England’s aggressive batters, they could seize control.

Overall, England is likely to win, but South Africa has the firepower to pull off an upset if their key players perform under pressure.

This promises to be a thrilling contest between two well-matched teams, and every session could prove decisive.

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Fantasy Cricket & Betting Insights

Top Fantasy Picks

Captain Choice: Ben Duckett (ENG) 

Vice-Captain Choice: David Miller (SA) 

Budget Pick: Aiden Markram (SA)

Key Player Match-Ups

Buttler vs Rabada – A clash of aggression and pace. 

Root vs Maharaj – England’s anchor against South Africa’s experienced spinner. 

Livingstone vs Shamsi – Power-hitting against crafty spin.

Win Probability & Betting Odds

England: 55% (Odds: 1.80) 

South Africa: 45% (Odds: 2.10)

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