Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, Final

The Pakistan T20I Tri-Series 2025 culminates in a thrilling final at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium between Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Both teams have showcased impressive form en route to the final. Pakistan, buoyed by a strong home advantage and consistent performances from their core players, have won their last five T20 matches with a blend of explosive batting and disciplined bowling. Sri Lanka, on the other hand, demonstrated resilience and tactical prowess, winning four out of their last five games with notable contributions from emerging young stars and experienced campaigners. Historically, Pakistan holds a slight edge in head-to-head T20 encounters against Sri Lanka, especially in conditions favoring seam bowling. Key performers for Pakistan include their premier fast bowler, who consistently takes early wickets, and an aggressive middle order batsman who can change the game's momentum. Sri Lanka relies heavily on their spinner’s ability to control the middle overs and a top-order batsman renowned for his ability to anchor innings under pressure. Strategically, Pakistan may look to exploit the early powerplay with pace and variations, while Sri Lanka will aim to stabilize after losing early wickets and accelerate in the final five overs. Field placements and bowling changes will be crucial given the pitch’s variable bounce at Rawalpindi. Given all factors—the home conditions, recent consistency, and player form—Pakistan appears to have a marginal advantage in the final.

AI suggested match winner

Pakistan: 57%, Sri Lanka: 43%

If Pakistan bat first, a competitive total would be around 170-180 runs given their aggressive top order and familiarity with the home pitch. Rawalpindi offers some assistance to bowlers early on, but the middle overs tend to favour stroke play. Conversely, if Sri Lanka bat first, a target of approximately 160-170 is expected, considering their slightly less powerful batting lineup and the ability of Pakistan’s bowling attack to exploit small inconsistencies on this pitch. Both teams are capable of faster scoring during the death overs, so any score above 170 could be a winning one in this final.

The pitch at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium traditionally offers a balanced contest between bat and ball. Historically, the average first-innings score in T20 matches here is around 165. The surface tends to have consistent bounce with some early assistance for seamers in the first six overs. Spinners gain control during the middle overs but rarely dominate. Chasing teams have a decent success rate here, winning approximately 55% of the matches, which emphasizes the importance of a solid start. Weather forecast predicts clear skies with moderate humidity and a temperature around 24°C, ideal conditions for cricket. Notable ground records for these teams include Pakistan's leading wicket-taker with 15 wickets at an average of 18, and their highest batting score at this venue is 85 by a key middle-order batsman against Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka’s best bowling figures in T20Is here stand at 4/22, while their top batsman has scored a vital 78 runs contributing to the team’s occasional wins at Rawalpindi.

Matches Played	Pakistan Wins	Sri Lanka Wins
25	14	11

Team Recent Performance

Team	Last 5 Matches
Pakistan	W, W, W, W, W
Sri Lanka	W, W, L, W, W

Pakistan:

Shaheen Afridi: Leading fast bowler famous for early breakthroughs and death over variations, recently picked up 10 wickets in last 5 matches.

Babar Azam: A consistent run-scorer and anchor in the middle overs, averaging 45 with a strike rate over 130 in recent games.

Haris Rauf: Death over specialist with significant pace and yorkers, impacting match results with crucial wickets in the final overs.

Sri Lanka:

Dhananjaya de Silva: Experienced batsman with the ability to stabilize innings, recently scored two fifties in last three matches.

Maheesh Theekshana: Young spinner with excellent control, recently took 8 wickets in 5 games, pivotal during the middle overs.

Wanindu Hasaranga: All-rounder contributing crucial runs and wickets, maintaining a good strike rate and an economy below 7 runs per over.