Asia Cup 2025

Pakistan vs Bangladesh, 17th Match Asia Cup 2025

Thursday, September 25, 2025
08:00 PM IST
Pakistan Cricket

Pakistan

vs
Bangladesh Cricket

Bangladesh

🏏 Match Prediction

The 17th match of the Asia Cup 2025 Super Four sees Pakistan (PAK) take on Bangladesh (BAN) at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium. Check pitch report, probable XIs, key players, and winning chances in our PAK vs BAN Asia Cup 2025 match prediction.

Pakistan, led by Salman Agha, are aiming for a strong finish after a mixed run in the tournament. Their batting will rely on openers Sahibzada Farhan and Fakhar Zaman, with one of Saim Ayub, Hasan Nawaz, or Khushdil Shah expected to slot in at No. 3. The middle order features the experienced Hussain Talat and wicketkeeper-batter Mohammad Haris, while Mohammad Nawaz and Faheem Ashraf provide all-round balance. In bowling, the fiery pace duo of Shaheen Shah Afridi and Haris Rauf, supported by mystery spinner Abrar Ahmed, make Pakistan a dangerous unit.

Bangladesh, captained by Litton Das, view this clash as a virtual semifinal. Their batting depends on the opening pair of Saif Hassan and Tanzid Hasan/Parvez Hossain Emon, with Towhid Hridoy and Litton himself anchoring the innings. The middle order is boosted by Shamim Hossain and Jaker Ali, while Rishad Hossain and Mahedi Hasan/Nasum Ahmed bring spin options. In the pace department, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, and Tanzim Hasan Sakib form a strong attack that thrives under lights in Dubai.

📌 If Pakistan Bat First
  • Expected Total: 160–180
  • Key Batters: Fakhar Zaman, Sahibzada Farhan
  • Key Bangladesh Bowlers: Mustafizur Rahman (death overs), Taskin Ahmed (new ball)
  • Strategic Insight: Pakistan’s aggressive openers will look to maximize the powerplay, but Mustafizur’s variations and Taskin’s pace could restrict them. A platform set by Fakhar could see Pakistan touch 175+.
📌 If Bangladesh Bat First
  • Expected Total: 150–165
  • Key Batters: Litton Das, Towhid Hridoy
  • Key Pakistan Bowlers: Shaheen Afridi (powerplay), Abrar Ahmed (middle overs)
  • Strategic Insight: Bangladesh need Litton to play a captain’s knock and anchor the innings. However, Shaheen’s new-ball swing and Abrar’s mystery spin may limit them. Anything below 155 could leave them vulnerable.
🎯 Winning Probability – Asia Cup 2025 Prediction
  • Pakistan (PAK): 60%
  • Bangladesh (BAN): 40%

👉 According to our PAK vs BAN Asia Cup 2025 prediction, Pakistan hold the edge thanks to their superior pace attack and stronger middle-order hitters. Bangladesh’s hopes will depend heavily on Litton Das’ batting and Mustafizur Rahman’s bowling brilliance. Expect Pakistan to start as favorites in Dubai, but if Bangladesh’s top order clicks and their bowlers strike early, this could turn into a nail-biting contest.

Our betting tips for this match
🏏 Top Batsman: Fakhar Zaman (PAK) (~3.8 odds) – An explosive opener, Fakhar has the ability to take advantage of the powerplay and score quick runs. His attacking approach at the Dubai surface makes him Pakistan’s best bet to top the run-scoring charts.
🎯 Top Bowler: Shaheen Shah Afridi (PAK) (~3.6 odds) – Known for his deadly swing with the new ball, Shaheen is a proven match-winner in UAE conditions. Against Bangladesh’s relatively inexperienced top order, he has a strong chance to pick early wickets and dominate the bowling stats.
⚡ Top All-Rounder: Faheem Ashraf (PAK) (~4.2 odds) – A handy lower-order batter and wicket-taking medium pacer, Faheem’s dual role gives him extra value. On Dubai’s slightly slow pitch, his cutters and late hitting could make him a high-impact all-rounder pick.

📊 Match Analytics

Pakistan (PAK)
Strengths:

  • Aggressive opening duo of Sahibzada Farhan and Fakhar Zaman can provide a strong start.
  • Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf form a lethal pace attack, backed by Abrar Ahmed’s mystery spin.
  • Presence of multiple all-rounders like Mohammad Nawaz and Faheem Ashraf adds depth in both departments.
  • Middle-order flexibility with Salman Agha’s stability and Hussain Talat’s finishing ability.

⚠️ Weaknesses:

  • Inconsistent No. 3 slot (Saim Ayub/Hasan Nawaz/Khushdil Shah) creates uncertainty.
  • Heavy reliance on Fakhar Zaman for aggressive runs at the top.
  • Batting collapse risk if early wickets fall in powerplay.
  • Lack of a specialist death-overs finisher with the bat.

Key Players to Watch: Fakhar Zaman, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed

Bangladesh (BAN)
Strengths:

  • Litton Das’ leadership and batting consistency provide stability.
  • Talented young batters like Towhid Hridoy and Shamim Hossain bring energy to the middle order.
  • Strong pace unit with Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman, and Tanzim Sakib well-suited for Dubai conditions.
  • Spin options with Rishad Hossain and Mahedi/Nasum add variety in the middle overs.

⚠️ Weaknesses:

  • Heavy dependence on Litton Das and Towhid Hridoy for scoring.
  • Opening pair lacks consistency in powerplays.
  • Inexperienced middle order may struggle against Shaheen’s pace and Abrar’s spin.
  • Bowling over-reliant on Mustafizur for breakthroughs in crunch situations.

Key Players to Watch: Litton Das, Towhid Hridoy, Mustafizur Rahman

📌 Overall Insight:
This contest shapes up as Pakistan’s pace-spin strike force versus Bangladesh’s balanced but fragile batting lineup. If Fakhar Zaman fires, Pakistan could post a strong total and let their bowlers dictate terms. Bangladesh’s hopes rest on Litton anchoring the innings and Taskin–Mustafizur striking early to unsettle Pakistan’s top order. Pakistan start as slight favorites, but Bangladesh’s fighting spirit and variety in bowling make this a potentially close Super Four battle in Dubai.

🧾 PAK vs BAN Probable Playing XI

Pakistan: Sahibzada Farhan, Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub / Hasan Nawaz / Khushdil Shah, Salman Agha (C), Hussain Talat, Mohammad Haris (WK), Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed

Bangladesh: Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan / Parvez Hossain Emon, Litton Das (C & WK), Towhid Hridoy, Shamim Hossain, Jaker Ali, Rishad Hossain, Mahedi Hasan / Nasum Ahmed, Tanzim Hasan Sakib, Taskin Ahmed, Mustafizur Rahman

📌 These are probable XIs and may change depending on pitch conditions, team strategy, and player fitness.

🌍 Pitch Report & Weather Conditions

The Dubai International Cricket Stadium usually provides a balanced T20 surface, with something in it for both batters and bowlers. Pacers like Shaheen Afridi and Taskin Ahmed can use the new ball effectively under lights, generating bounce and swing in the powerplay. As the innings progresses, the surface tends to slow down, allowing spinners such as Abrar Ahmed and Rishad Hossain to control the middle overs with grip and variation.

Batting conditions improve significantly in the second innings due to the dew factor, which makes chasing the preferred option at this venue. Teams batting first often need a score of 165+ to stay competitive.

  • Average 1st Innings Score (T20Is): 155–165 runs
  • Pitch Nature: Balanced – early swing for pacers, grip for spinners later
  • Pace vs Spin: Pacers dominate early & at the death; spinners effective in middle overs
  • Weather: Hot and dry 🌤 around 33–35°C with clear skies. No rain expected. Dew likely in the evening.

📌 Toss Impact: Teams generally prefer bowling first in Dubai, taking advantage of early movement before chasing becomes easier with dew in the second innings.

🎯 Key Player Matchups & Impact Players

🔑 Key Player Matchups

  • Fakhar Zaman vs Taskin Ahmed – Fakhar’s aggressive stroke play in the powerplay will be tested by Taskin’s pace and bounce under lights. Whoever wins this battle could set the tone for the match.
  • Sahibzada Farhan vs Mustafizur Rahman – Farhan’s steady approach at the top will come under pressure from Mustafizur’s cutters and variations, especially in the powerplay.
  • Litton Das vs Shaheen Afridi – Litton’s ability to anchor Bangladesh’s innings will be challenged by Shaheen’s lethal swing and yorkers with the new ball.
  • Towhid Hridoy vs Abrar Ahmed – Hridoy’s calm batting against spin will be crucial if Bangladesh are to counter Abrar’s mystery spin in the middle overs.

🌟 Impact Players

Pakistan (PAK):

  • Fakhar Zaman – Explosive opener who can take the game away in the first six overs.
  • Shaheen Shah Afridi – Pakistan’s strike weapon with new-ball swing and deadly death overs.
  • Abrar Ahmed – Mystery spinner capable of breaking partnerships and choking runs in the middle phase.

Bangladesh (BAN):

  • Litton Das – Captain and anchor of the batting lineup, his knock will define Bangladesh’s chances.
  • Towhid Hridoy – Young batter with the temperament to handle pressure and rotate strike against spin.
  • Mustafizur Rahman – Master of cutters and yorkers, a big threat in both powerplay and death overs.

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips & Captaincy Choices

📌 Must-Have Picks:
  • Fakhar Zaman (PAK): Explosive opener; can score quick runs in the powerplay and tilt momentum early.
  • Sahibzada Farhan (PAK): In-form opener who provides consistency and anchors Pakistan’s batting.
  • Shaheen Shah Afridi (PAK): Strike bowler with swing; a big threat in powerplay and at the death.
  • Abrar Ahmed (PAK): Mystery spinner; effective in middle overs with wicket-taking ability.
  • Litton Das (BAN): Skipper and wicketkeeper-batter; Bangladesh’s most reliable run-getter.
  • Towhid Hridoy (BAN): Composed middle-order batter; plays spin well and can steady the innings.
  • Mustafizur Rahman (BAN): Left-arm pacer with cutters and yorkers; dangerous in Dubai’s evening conditions.
👑 Captaincy Choices:
  • Captain: Fakhar Zaman / Litton Das
  • Vice-Captain: Shaheen Shah Afridi / Towhid Hridoy
📌 Tips Based on Dubai Conditions:
  • The dew factor favors chasing teams, so top-order batters like Fakhar and Litton are more valuable if batting second.
  • Spinners like Abrar Ahmed and Rishad Hossain could control the middle overs – include at least one wrist-spinner in fantasy squads.
  • All-rounders such as Faheem Ashraf and Mohammad Nawaz provide balance and can deliver crucial fantasy points in both departments.
  • In grand leagues, picking a bowler captain (Shaheen or Mustafizur) could be a differential that pays off if conditions aid movement.