Australia vs India, 3rd T20I

The 3rd T20I between Australia and India at Bellerive Oval promises to be an intense contest, with both teams eager to assert dominance in this India tour of Australia, 2025 series. Australia has been consistent at home, leveraging their strong batting lineup led by their explosive top-order and versatile all-rounders. Recent form shows them winning 3 of their last 5 T20Is, including a victory in the 2nd T20I of this series. India, however, has been formidable in away conditions, with their younger pace battery and experienced middle order showing resilience, winning 4 out of their last 5 T20 matches overall. Historically, head-to-head in T20Is, Australia holds a slight edge at home, but India’s adaptability to pitches in Australia has improved markedly in recent years. Key player performances include Australia's captain and opener delivering consistent 30s and 40s with aggressive stroke play, while their premier spinner has been economical, controlling the middle overs effectively. India’s lead batsman has been in red-hot form, featuring a fifty and quickfire 40 in the last two matches, whereas their young pacers have taken crucial wickets early. Strategy-wise, Australia will likely look to capitalize on the powerplay with aggressive batting upfront and mix spin and pace in the middle overs. India will rely on their disciplined bowling attack and lower-order hitting to chase or set competitive totals. Considering form, home advantage, and key players, the winning probability slightly favors Australia but India’s momentum cannot be ignored.

Australia: 54%, India: 46%

If Australia bats first at Bellerive Oval, they are likely to post a competitive total around 165-175, leveraging their aggressive openers and exploiting the batting-friendly conditions that support stroke play. The pitch has a true bounce and good pace, encouraging boundary scoring. Conversely, if India bats first, a target in the range of 160-170 seems plausible given their middle order's capability to accelerate after a steady platform, and key power-hitters who can exploit any short boundaries. Both teams have shown the ability to score at around 8.5 to 9 runs per over on such pitches, making totals in the mid-160s very likely.

The pitch at Bellerive Oval traditionally offers a balanced contest between bat and ball. It usually provides consistent bounce and some seam movement early on, favoring fast bowlers with the new ball. As the innings progresses, spinners can come into play due to some turn on the dry surface. The ground’s average first-innings T20 score is approximately 165 runs. Chasing teams hold a slight advantage here, having won 55% of the matches in recent years. Weather forecast for match day suggests mild temperatures with no expected rain, ideal for cricket. Best bowler records at this venue include Australia's Pat Cummins, with 15 wickets in T20Is at an economy lower than 7 runs per over. India's Jasprit Bumrah has excelled here too, having picked up key wickets consistently. Best batsman performers at Bellerive Oval are Australia's David Warner, who holds the highest individual score of 98 in a T20I here, and India's Virat Kohli with multiple fifties, showcasing his ability to tame the conditions.

Matches Played	Australia Wins	India Wins
15	8	7

Team Recent Performance

Team	Last 5 Matches	Wins
Australia	W L W W L	3
India	W W W L W	4

Australia: David Warner – Consistently providing brisk starts, Warner's ability to dominate the powerplay makes him a key run scorer this series.

Australia: Pat Cummins – Leading the bowling attack with disciplined line and length, Cummins consistently picks crucial wickets upfront.

Australia: Glenn Maxwell – Explosive finisher and handy off-spinner, Maxwell’s late overs hitting can change the game momentum.

India: Virat Kohli – In strong touch, Kohli anchors the innings with elegant strokeplay and accelerates when needed.

India: Jasprit Bumrah – Premier pacer who excels with early breakthroughs and controlling runs in the death overs.

India: Rishabh Pant – Dynamic wicketkeeper-batsman capable of quickfire innings that shift the match in India’s favor.