Asia Cup 2025

India vs Pakistan, 6th Match Asia Cup 2025

Sunday, September 14, 2025
08:00 PM IST
India

India

vs
Pakistan Cricket

Pakistan

🏏 Match Prediction

The 6th match of the Asia Cup 2025 sees India (IND) take on Pakistan (PAK) at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai. Check pitch report, probable XIs, key players, and winning chances in our IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2025 match prediction.

India, under Suryakumar Yadav’s captaincy, bring a strong blend of youth and experience. With Shubman Gill and Abhishek Sharma at the top, backed by Tilak Varma and Sanju Samson, their batting unit looks aggressive yet adaptable. Hardik Pandya, Shivam Dube, and Axar Patel provide all-round depth, while Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakaravarthy, and Jasprit Bumrah form a potent bowling trio.

Pakistan, led by Salman Agha, rely on their explosive opening pair Saim Ayub and Sahibzada Farhan. Fakhar Zaman adds firepower at the top, while Mohammad Haris provides wicketkeeping stability. The middle order of Salman Agha and all-rounders Mohammad Nawaz and Faheem Ashraf adds flexibility. With Shaheen Afridi, Sufiyan Muqeem, and Abrar Ahmed in the attack, Pakistan boast a dangerous bowling lineup.

📌 If India Bat First

  • Expected Total: 165–180 (T20 format)
  • Key Batters: Shubman Gill, Suryakumar Yadav
  • Key Pakistan Bowlers: Shaheen Afridi (new ball), Abrar Ahmed (spin)
  • Strategic Insight: India need Gill and Abhishek to neutralize Shaheen’s opening spell. If Suryakumar anchors the innings and Hardik finishes strong, India can post a challenging score.

📌 If Pakistan Bat First

  • Expected Total: 160–175
  • Key Batters: Babar Azam (oops not here), Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub
  • Key India Bowlers: Jasprit Bumrah (new ball), Kuldeep Yadav (middle overs)
  • Strategic Insight: Pakistan’s openers must attack early but avoid losing quick wickets to Bumrah. If Fakhar or Haris bat deep, Pakistan can push beyond 170, putting India under pressure in a chase.

🎯 Winning Probability – Asia Cup 2025 Prediction

  • India (IND): 55%
  • Pakistan (PAK): 45%

👉 According to our IND vs PAK Asia Cup 2025 prediction, India start as slight favorites due to their balanced all-round unit and Bumrah’s impact with the ball. However, Pakistan’s left-arm pace spearheaded by Shaheen Afridi can tilt the game if he strikes early.

Our betting tips for this match
🏏 Top Batsman: Shubman Gill (IND) (~3.6 odds) – Gill has been India’s most consistent T20 opener in recent months. His ability to play Shaheen Afridi’s new-ball swing and then accelerate makes him the safest bet with the bat.
🎯 Top Bowler: Shaheen Afridi (PAK) (~4.1 odds) – Known for producing early breakthroughs against India, Shaheen’s left-arm pace under Dubai lights can dismantle the Indian top order. Expect him to be Pakistan’s biggest wicket-taking threat.
⚡ Top All-Rounder: Hardik Pandya (IND) (~3.9 odds) – Hardik’s dual role is crucial. With the bat, he’s India’s finisher, and with the ball, he delivers in powerplays and death overs. His all-round impact makes him the best value pick.

🧾 IND vs PAK Probable Playing XI

India (IND):
Shubman Gill, Abhishek Sharma, Tilak Varma, Suryakumar Yadav (c), Sanju Samson (wk), Hardik Pandya, Shivam Dube, Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakaravarthy, Jasprit Bumrah

Pakistan (PAK):
Saim Ayub, Sahibzada Farhan, Mohammad Haris (wk), Fakhar Zaman, Salman Agha (c), Hasan Nawaz, Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Afridi, Sufiyan Muqeem, Abrar Ahmed

📊 Match Analytics

India

Strengths:

  • Explosive top order with Gill and Abhishek providing quick starts.
  • Middle-order stability with Tilak Varma and captain Suryakumar Yadav.
  • Strong all-round depth with Hardik, Dube, and Axar balancing bat & ball.
  • Jasprit Bumrah’s world-class pace and Kuldeep’s spin threat in middle overs.

Weaknesses:

  • Over-reliance on Gill & Suryakumar for big runs.
  • Sanju Samson’s inconsistency in high-pressure games.
  • Spin attack can be expensive if dew comes into play.

Pakistan

Strengths:

  • Young and fearless opening duo of Saim Ayub & Sahibzada Farhan.
  • Fakhar Zaman’s ability to change the game with aggressive stroke play.
  • Well-rounded all-rounder group – Hasan Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Nawaz.
  • Bowling attack led by Shaheen Afridi, with spin variety from Abrar & Sufiyan Muqeem.

Weaknesses:

  • Middle-order instability beyond Salman Agha.
  • Heavy reliance on Shaheen Afridi for early wickets.
  • Lack of experienced finishers in pressure chases.

🌍 Pitch Report & Weather Conditions

🏟️ Pitch Report (Dubai International Cricket Stadium)

  • The Dubai pitch tends to offer a balanced surface — there’s something for both batters and bowlers. Early on, the new ball helps fast bowlers with some movement and bounce. As the match progresses, especially under lights, spinners often come into play.
  • Scores in T20s here are usually moderate. The first innings average hovers around 145–150. Big totals are possible but teams chasing often have a slight advantage, especially if they can read the pitch early.
  • Boundary sizes are typical but not restrictive. The stadium has square boundaries around 80 meters and straight ones ~ 65 meters. That gives enough room for big hits, but timing and placement matter.
  • Dew becomes a factor in night matches — the ball can skid and spin bowlers may lose grip. So, bowling second could be advantageous if the team is good at chasing.

☀️ Weather Conditions

  • October in Dubai is hot and dry. Daytime temperatures are likely to be in the mid-30s °C (about 32-36°C), cooling a bit after sunset.
  • Evenings will be somewhat more comfortable, but humidity may rise. So players might feel the heat early on and by later overs there could be extra moisture or slight slickness in the outfield.
  • Rain chances are very low in Dubai in October. Mostly clear skies are expected.

🎯 Key Player Matchups & Impact Players

🔥 Key Player Matchups

  • Shubman Gill vs Shaheen Afridi – Gill’s solid technique will be tested by Shaheen’s lethal in-swingers with the new ball. A battle that could set the tone for India’s innings.
  • Suryakumar Yadav vs Abrar Ahmed – SKY’s 360° stroke play against Abrar’s tricky variations will be a crucial middle-over contest.
  • Fakhar Zaman vs Jasprit Bumrah – Fakhar’s aggressive approach at the top makes him dangerous, but Bumrah’s accuracy and pace can neutralize him early.
  • Mohammad Haris vs Kuldeep Yadav – Haris’s attacking style against spin will be tested by Kuldeep’s guile and variations.

🌟 Impact Players

India (IND):

  • Suryakumar Yadav – Captain and batting X-factor, capable of dismantling any bowling lineup.
  • Hardik Pandya – Offers balance with power-hitting and wicket-taking spells.
  • Jasprit Bumrah – India’s trump card in both powerplay and death overs.

Pakistan (PAK):

  • Shaheen Afridi – Pakistan’s strike bowler, dangerous with the new ball under Dubai lights.
  • Fakhar Zaman – Explosive opener who can shift momentum quickly.
  • Mohammad Nawaz – Provides spin control and handy lower-order runs.

👉 Insight: The battle between India’s strong batting depth and Pakistan’s pace attack will define the outcome. Whoever wins the Gill vs Shaheen and Fakhar vs Bumrah contests will likely tilt the match in their favor.

💸 Fantasy Cricket Tips & Captaincy Choices

📌 Must-Have Picks

  • Shubman Gill (IND) – India’s most consistent ODI batter, reliable top-order anchor.
  • Suryakumar Yadav (IND) – Skipper and middle-order stabilizer, excellent strike rotation and acceleration.
  • Jasprit Bumrah (IND) – India’s spearhead with new ball and death overs, wicket machine.
  • Shaheen Afridi (PAK) – Pakistan’s strike bowler, dangerous in powerplay under lights.

👑 Captaincy Choices (C)

  • Shubman Gill (IND) – If he sees off Shaheen, can go on to play a match-winning knock.
  • Suryakumar Yadav (IND) – Steady middle-order option who rarely fails in high-pressure matches.

👥 Vice-Captain Choices (VC)

  • Jasprit Bumrah (IND) – Consistent wicket-taker, fantasy gold in Dubai conditions.
  • Shaheen Afridi (PAK) – Can destroy India’s top order if conditions assist swing.

Differential Picks (X-Factors)

  • Hardik Pandya (IND) – Provides both batting depth and 4+ overs, a game-changer.
  • Fakhar Zaman (PAK) – Explosive opener, can shift momentum if he survives early.
  • Kuldeep Yadav (IND) – Mystery spinner who can trouble Pakistan’s middle order.

🏆 Suggested Fantasy XI (Dream11/My11Circle)

  • WK: Mohammad Rizwan, Rishabh Pant
  • Batters: Shubman Gill (C), Suryakumar Yadav (VC), Fakhar Zaman
  • All-rounders: Hardik Pandya, Mohammad Nawaz
  • Bowlers: Jasprit Bumrah, Shaheen Afridi, Kuldeep Yadav, Abrar Ahmed

👉 Balanced XI with 5 batting options, 2 all-rounders, and 4 wicket-taking bowlers, covering both powerplay and death overs.